TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Tomasz Filbrandt vs Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesHSC 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118115114––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched: 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeTomasz Filbrandt to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
911118115114––
H2H Tomasz Filbrandt 2–0 Tadeusz Piotrowski Tadeusz Piotrowski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:3376.3%Our read79.4%to break even at 1.26
short by 3.1pp79.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.26 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (74%)
Filbrandt
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Filbrandt 1653 vs Piotrowski 1391
Filbrandt
Correct
both rated, 262 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filbrandt 100% vs Piotrowski 40%
Filbrandt
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filbrandt 80% vs Piotrowski 30%
Filbrandt
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Filbrandt +5 · Piotrowski -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% · Strong (leans Filbrandt) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piotrowski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilbrandt 1.26 / Piotrowski 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Filbrandt)-3.1pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13270287
Filbrandt1.26
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 128 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it78% 88 of 113
Piotrowski3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 24 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeFilbrandt2wins
AwayPiotrowski0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderFilbrandt leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricFilbrandtPiotrowskiF − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match50.040.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilbrandtPiotrowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime629 / 1192 vs 555 / 88652.8%62.6%629 / 1192 vs 555 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FilbrandtFilbrandt 1.26/Piotrowski 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.3%
Filbrandt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Filbrandt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 26 · 14:15T. Filbrandt48111187113T. Piotrowski3672111152
WMay 18 · 03:05T. Filbrandt529111011113T. Piotrowski4411812852
T. Filbrandt10
WOct 10 · 13:00T. Filbrandt1.251111113B. Mleczko3.653750WOct 10 · 11:45T. Filbrandt1.26111189113M. Minda3.4597111152WOct 10 · 10:05T. Filbrandt1.461111113J. Lamperski2.509860WOct 10 · 09:00T. Filbrandt1.58118911113K. Kostyk2.2521111442WOct 9 · 21:00J. Wozniak3.5089110T. Filbrandt1.281111133LOct 9 · 20:05K. Staszczyk1.73116113113T. Filbrandt2.0061131182WOct 9 · 19:15T. Filbrandt1.3311712113K. Rudomina3.258111091WOct 9 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.61101111153M. Kolek2.201279131LOct 9 · 16:55M. Marchlewski1.8311113113T. Filbrandt1.83751191WOct 9 · 14:40F. Krcil3.904760T. Filbrandt1.201111113
T. Piotrowski10
WOct 10 · 13:25T. Piotrowski1.901151011113K. Kostyk1.8091112982LOct 10 · 12:10B. Mleczko1.731111113T. Piotrowski2.009570LOct 10 · 10:55M. Minda1.8611212113T. Piotrowski1.8411101081LOct 10 · 09:20J. Lamperski1.7211119113T. Piotrowski2.00391191WOct 10 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.33119931T. Piotrowski3.1091111113WOct 10 · 06:50I. Dabrowski2.065880T. Piotrowski1.601111113LOct 10 · 06:00T. Piotrowski2.105920B. Mleczko1.651111113LOct 10 · 04:25T. Piotrowski1.8581111672K. Kostyk1.86116711113WOct 10 · 03:40K. Klocek1.9911112922T. Piotrowski1.74771111113LOct 4 · 14:20T. Piotrowski1.84114511122P. Krukar1.87911117143
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