TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jaroslaw Rolak vs Milosz Kukawka 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811611511––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:21 and never touched: 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timeMilosz Kukawka to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
117811611511––
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 15–30 Milosz Kukawka Jaroslaw Rolak has won 15 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:2177.5%Our read60.6%to break even at 1.65
clears by 16.9pp60.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.65 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Kukawka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
15-30 in 45
Kukawka
Correct
gap of 15 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1214 vs Kukawka 1421
Kukawka
Correct
both rated, 207 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 60% vs Kukawka 40%
Rolak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 40% vs Kukawka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak -1 · Kukawka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% · Strong (leans Kukawka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kukawka form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 2.05 / Kukawka 1.65
Signal prob.23% / 78%
Edge (Kukawka)+16.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13269748
Rolak2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 174 of 471
Down 0–1, comes back17% 45 of 267
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 122
Kukawka1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite63% won 228 of 361
Up 2–0, closes it98% 119 of 122
Up 1–0, closes it84% 188 of 224
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRolak2wins
AwayKukawka8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKukawka leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKukawka88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolak1Kukawka9n = 10Kukawka took 9 of 10
S2Rolak3Kukawka7n = 10Kukawka took 7 of 10
S3Rolak5Kukawka5n = 10split evenly
S4Rolak1Kukawka6n = 7Kukawka took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRolakKukawkaR − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.738.1−6.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakKukawkaBasisWin rate · lifetime632 / 1427 vs 527 / 85444.3%61.7%632 / 1427 vs 527 / 854Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KukawkaRolak 2.05/Kukawka 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Kukawka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kukawka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 26 · 00:35J. Rolak35891171M. Kukawka3911116113
LJun 25 · 22:10J. Rolak2510960M. Kukawka341211113
LJun 24 · 00:35J. Rolak103520M. Kukawka331111113
LJun 23 · 22:10J. Rolak321011741M. Kukawka4312911113
LJun 17 · 01:00J. Rolak225890M. Kukawka331111113
LJun 16 · 22:35J. Rolak35961281M. Kukawka43111110113
LMay 30 · 16:15J. Rolak27461161M. Kukawka3811115113
WMay 21 · 20:15J. Rolak4071111113M. Kukawka30116671
LMay 13 · 00:45J. Rolak4681511121M. Kukawka4411172143
WMay 12 · 22:20J. Rolak45111148113M. Kukawka4489111152
J. Rolak10
WOct 10 · 11:25J. Rolak2.124111011113A. Szoltysek1.6511812862LOct 10 · 10:10W. Iwasyszyn1.731110511113J. Rolak1.9881211982LOct 10 · 08:35J. Przewlocki1.9611715113J. Rolak1.768111381WOct 10 · 07:20J. Rolak1.6511119113A. Szoltysek2.05881191WOct 10 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8091191192J. Rolak1.91119115113WOct 10 · 04:55W. Iwasyszyn1.80691261J. Rolak1.90111110113LOct 10 · 03:25D. Wrobel1.651211911123J. Rolak2.101013116102LOct 8 · 23:20M. Trela1.671113113J. Rolak1.9591160LOct 8 · 22:35P. Krukar1.85111013113J. Rolak1.805121191LOct 8 · 22:15J. Rolak2.106850D. Poloszczanski1.601111113
M. Kukawka10
WOct 10 · 11:00I. Dabrowski2.10119431M. Kukawka1.6691111113WOct 9 · 14:20M. Kukawka2.2511511113B. Sulkowski1.55611761LOct 9 · 12:40B. Czerwinski1.55111112113M. Kukawka2.30291461WOct 9 · 11:50F. Krcil2.2091070M. Kukawka1.601112113LOct 9 · 11:00M. Kukawka2.3071160T. Filbrandt1.551113113LOct 9 · 09:50M. Kukawka2.207340J. Zochniak1.581111113WOct 8 · 09:15B. Warpas2.352280M. Kukawka1.531111113WOct 8 · 07:20M. Kukawka1.403B. Wisniewski2.750LOct 8 · 06:05K. Sulkowski2.601111113M. Kukawka1.429890WOct 8 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski3.75591131M. Kukawka1.2411117113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.