TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wojciech Iwasyszyn vs Jaroslaw Rolak 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181012511119118
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:05 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Iwasyszyn to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1181012511119118
H2H Wojciech Iwasyszyn 23–22 Jaroslaw Rolak Jaroslaw Rolak has won 22 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:0554.0%Our read57.8%to break even at 1.73
short by 3.8pp57.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.73 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Iwasyszyn
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
23-22 in 45
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Iwasyszyn 1307 vs Rolak 1223
Iwasyszyn
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Iwasyszyn 60% vs Rolak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Iwasyszyn 50% vs Rolak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Iwasyszyn +2 · Rolak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Iwasyszyn) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIwasyszyn 1.73 / Rolak 1.98
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Iwasyszyn)-3.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13273706
Iwasyszyn1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 61 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it78% 40 of 51
Rolak1.98
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 174 of 471
Down 0–1, comes back17% 45 of 267
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIwasyszyn4wins
AwayRolak6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRolak leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIwasyszyn40%2 of 5
AwayRolak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Iwasyszyn5Rolak5n = 10split evenly
S2Iwasyszyn2Rolak8n = 10Rolak took 8 of 10
S3Iwasyszyn6Rolak4n = 10Iwasyszyn took 6 of 10
S4Iwasyszyn4Rolak4n = 8split evenly
S5Iwasyszyn2Rolak2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIwasyszynRolakI − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.540.7−3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIwasyszynRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime511 / 1013 vs 632 / 142650.4%44.3%511 / 1013 vs 632 / 1426Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
IwasyszynIwasyszyn 1.73/Rolak 1.98
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Iwasyszyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Iwasyszyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 10 · 04:55W. Iwasyszyn33691261J. Rolak43111110113
LOct 1 · 23:20W. Iwasyszyn33681181J. Rolak4111118113
WOct 1 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn331111113J. Rolak217680
WSep 5 · 11:25W. Iwasyszyn47951111113J. Rolak4311115882
WSep 5 · 03:25W. Iwasyszyn4011117113J. Rolak33781171
LJul 4 · 10:10W. Iwasyszyn143470J. Rolak331111113
WJul 4 · 05:15W. Iwasyszyn527121111113J. Rolak4711146792
LJul 4 · 03:00W. Iwasyszyn45114115142J. Rolak55911811163
LApr 7 · 20:15W. Iwasyszyn32115971J. Rolak4291111113
LMar 20 · 01:45W. Iwasyszyn4611891172J. Rolak49911117113
W. Iwasyszyn10
WOct 10 · 09:00W. Iwasyszyn1.91291111113A. Szoltysek1.8011117862WOct 10 · 08:10W. Iwasyszyn2.25111167113A. Szoltysek1.5778111162LOct 10 · 06:30D. Wrobel1.9011811113W. Iwasyszyn1.80911781WOct 10 · 05:40J. Przewlocki1.85111171592W. Iwasyszyn1.851361113113LOct 10 · 04:55W. Iwasyszyn1.80691261J. Rolak1.90111110113LOct 10 · 03:50W. Iwasyszyn1.8588110B. Wisniewski1.851111133WOct 4 · 14:40B. Wisniewski2.054119111W. Iwasyszyn1.6811811133WOct 4 · 13:30W. Iwasyszyn1.901112113P. Krukar1.8081040LOct 4 · 12:15A. Eliasz1.85581111113W. Iwasyszyn1.8511116682LOct 4 · 11:00T. Piotrowski1.571111113W. Iwasyszyn2.208590
J. Rolak10
LOct 10 · 08:35J. Przewlocki1.9611715113J. Rolak1.768111381WOct 10 · 07:20J. Rolak1.6511119113A. Szoltysek2.05881191WOct 10 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8091191192J. Rolak1.91119115113WOct 10 · 04:55W. Iwasyszyn1.80691261J. Rolak1.90111110113LOct 10 · 03:25D. Wrobel1.651211911123J. Rolak2.101013116102LOct 8 · 23:20M. Trela1.671113113J. Rolak1.9591160LOct 8 · 22:35P. Krukar1.85111013113J. Rolak1.805121191LOct 8 · 22:15J. Rolak2.106850D. Poloszczanski1.601111113LOct 8 · 21:05M. Skorski1.5211157113J. Rolak2.309131181WOct 8 · 20:30M. Trela1.7510911151J. Rolak1.9812118173
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