TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dominik Solilo vs Tomasz Filbrandt 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411119911511––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched: 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeTomasz Filbrandt to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
411119911511––
H2H Dominik Solilo 1–2 Tomasz Filbrandt Dominik Solilo has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:2464.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 2.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Filbrandt
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solilo 1484 vs Filbrandt 1650
Filbrandt
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solilo 60% vs Filbrandt 80%
Filbrandt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solilo 50% vs Filbrandt 80%
Filbrandt
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solilo +1 · Filbrandt -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Filbrandt) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filbrandt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolilo 2.40 / Filbrandt 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Filbrandt)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13270281
Solilo2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 75 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back25% 31 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 65
Filbrandt1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 128 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it78% 88 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSolilo1wins
AwayFilbrandt2wins
Filbrandt leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solilo1Filbrandt2n = 3Filbrandt took 2 of 3
S2Solilo2Filbrandt1n = 3Solilo took 2 of 3
S3Solilo1Filbrandt2n = 3Filbrandt took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSoliloFilbrandtS − FBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.336.3−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoliloFilbrandtBasisWin rate · lifetime294 / 602 vs 632 / 119648.8%52.8%294 / 602 vs 632 / 1196Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FilbrandtSolilo 2.40/Filbrandt 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.3%
Filbrandt · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Filbrandt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LApr 4 · 13:25D. Solilo248880T. Filbrandt331111113
WDec 30 · 17:20D. Solilo371211143T. Filbrandt27105120
LDec 28 · 21:15D. Solilo426179101T. Filbrandt49111511123
D. Solilo10
WOct 10 · 17:20D. Solilo1.301211113D. Kotwica3.1510560LOct 10 · 16:15M. Marchlewski1.7511119113D. Solilo1.98561131WOct 10 · 15:25D. Solilo1.401111113D. Poloszczanski2.769870WOct 8 · 13:55D. Solilo2.15111110113J. Zochniak1.60871271LOct 8 · 12:40D. Solilo1.7710850K. Klocek1.951211113LOct 8 · 11:25D. Solilo1.7711611692B. Sulkowski1.95611711113LOct 8 · 10:10B. Czerwinski1.781211113D. Solilo1.9110860WOct 8 · 09:25D. Solilo1.801111113M. Minda1.866760LOct 7 · 14:40D. Solilo1.8096121152B. Czerwinski1.901111107113WOct 7 · 13:05D. Solilo1.651110113113R. Stapor2.0561271162
T. Filbrandt10
LOct 10 · 17:45M. Marchlewski2.25911511113T. Filbrandt1.5711711652WOct 10 · 16:55T. Filbrandt1.061113123D. Poloszczanski7.20911100WOct 10 · 15:50T. Filbrandt1.36116611113M. Kukawka2.9061111692WOct 10 · 14:35T. Filbrandt1.2691111113T. Piotrowski3.50118541WOct 10 · 13:00T. Filbrandt1.251111113B. Mleczko3.653750WOct 10 · 11:45T. Filbrandt1.26111189113M. Minda3.4597111152WOct 10 · 10:05T. Filbrandt1.461111113J. Lamperski2.509860WOct 10 · 09:00T. Filbrandt1.58118911113K. Kostyk2.2521111442WOct 9 · 21:00J. Wozniak3.5089110T. Filbrandt1.281111133LOct 9 · 20:05K. Staszczyk1.73116113113T. Filbrandt2.0061131182
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