TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Filip Zurek vs Patrik Hanel 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121012104116111012
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:29 and never touched: 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timePatrik Hanel to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Patrik Hanel below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 98 set 5, 10-12 · our read held Patrik Hanel at 65.7%
98 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 3–5 Patrik Hanel Filip Zurek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:2965.7%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 3.6pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hanel
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Hanel
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1446 vs Hanel 1516
Hanel
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 60% vs Hanel 80%
Hanel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 60% vs Hanel 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +1 · Hanel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Hanel) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 2.625 / Hanel 1.444
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Hanel)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269804
Zurek2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 91 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back32% 37 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Hanel1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 36 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeZurek3wins
AwayHanel5wins
1 of 8 to a deciderHanel leads 5–3, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek66.7%2 of 3
AwayHanel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek3Hanel5n = 8Hanel took 5 of 8
S2Zurek3Hanel5n = 8Hanel took 5 of 8
S3Zurek6Hanel2n = 8Zurek took 6 of 8
S4Zurek2Hanel4n = 6Hanel took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricZurekHanelZ − HBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match35.537.5−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekHanelBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 652 vs 70 / 13750.6%51.1%330 / 652 vs 70 / 137Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HanelZurek 2.63/Hanel 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Hanel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hanel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LOct 5 · 18:30F. Zurek2174100P. Hanel341111123
LJul 16 · 20:30F. Zurek27551161P. Hanel4211119113
LJul 9 · 19:00F. Zurek34471761P. Hanel48111115113
WJul 8 · 20:00F. Zurek341211113P. Hanel2610790
LJul 3 · 21:00F. Zurek52119119122P. Hanel48711511143
WJul 3 · 18:30F. Zurek4011711113P. Hanel32711681
WJun 30 · 16:30F. Zurek4071111113P. Hanel28114671
LJun 27 · 11:00F. Zurek361011871P. Hanel4212811113
F. Zurek10
WOct 10 · 10:30I. Taichman2.106880F. Zurek1.671111113LOct 10 · 09:30F. Zurek1.5211133962I. Taichman2.355111111113LOct 10 · 08:00I. Taichman2.5011118113F. Zurek1.50861191WOct 10 · 07:00R. Kvasnicka1.731110811102F. Zurek2.00712118123WOct 10 · 06:30F. Zurek1.6711911113R. Guliak2.10711951LOct 9 · 09:30E. Gebek1.44114311113F. Zurek2.6371111582LOct 9 · 08:00E. Gebek1.44881111113F. Zurek2.6311116582WOct 9 · 07:00I. Taichman2.38631951F. Zurek1.53111117113WOct 9 · 06:30F. Zurek1.5081111123P. Varecha2.501153101WOct 5 · 21:00I. Taichman2.2061660F. Zurek1.611118113
P. Hanel10
WOct 10 · 12:00P. Hanel2.001111113I. Taichman1.736770WOct 10 · 10:00P. Hanel1.4471111113V. Bosak2.63119761WOct 8 · 21:28P. Hanel1.25711117113A. Schneeberger3.7511961192LOct 8 · 20:30M. Jasek2.10116119113P. Hanel1.6731191142WOct 8 · 19:30P. Hanel1.331111113R. Guliak3.259560WOct 8 · 18:29A. Schneeberger3.75117981P. Hanel1.2571111113WOct 5 · 21:30P. Hanel1.3651111113R. Guliak3.00119921LOct 5 · 20:30I. Taichman1.7811118113P. Hanel1.92671181WOct 5 · 19:30P. Hanel1.5091111113R. Guliak2.50116941WOct 5 · 18:30F. Zurek2.2574100P. Hanel1.571111123
Upcoming Matches
F. Zurek
P. Hanel
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.