TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Kypr vs Daniel Unzeitig 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711811––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:43 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Unzeitig to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kypr above · Daniel Unzeitig below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Daniel Unzeitig at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kypr 5–8 Daniel Unzeitig Tomas Kypr has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:4354.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Unzeitig
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Unzeitig
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kypr 1643 vs Unzeitig 1648
Unzeitig
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kypr 40% vs Unzeitig 60%
Unzeitig
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kypr 50% vs Unzeitig 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kypr -1 · Unzeitig +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Unzeitig) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kypr form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKypr 1.909 / Unzeitig 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Unzeitig)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269242
Kypr1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 09)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 22 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back44% 11 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back23% 3 of 13
Unzeitig1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 09)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 36 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it70% 23 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKypr4wins
AwayUnzeitig6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderUnzeitig leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKypr66.7%2 of 3
AwayUnzeitig71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kypr3Unzeitig7n = 10Unzeitig took 7 of 10
S2Kypr1Unzeitig9n = 10Unzeitig took 9 of 10
S3Kypr4Unzeitig6n = 10Unzeitig took 6 of 10
S4Kypr3Unzeitig3n = 6split evenly
S5Kypr3Unzeitig0n = 3Kypr took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKyprUnzeitigK − UBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.838.3−4.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyprUnzeitigBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 139 vs 152 / 32054%47.5%75 / 139 vs 152 / 320Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
UnzeitigKypr 1.91/Unzeitig 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Unzeitig · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Unzeitig won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 9 · 17:30T. Kypr217590D. Unzeitig331111113
LOct 9 · 14:30T. Kypr2581160D. Unzeitig351113113
WSep 27 · 14:30T. Kypr511441111113D. Unzeitig4916119582
WSep 11 · 14:30T. Kypr3911611113D. Unzeitig34811961
LSep 10 · 18:00T. Kypr398128111D. Unzeitig45111011133
LSep 3 · 14:30T. Kypr321129101D. Unzeitig3841111123
WAug 24 · 15:00T. Kypr41124113113D. Unzeitig44101151172
WAug 23 · 17:01T. Kypr507101111113D. Unzeitig3911125652
LAug 23 · 16:00T. Kypr193970D. Unzeitig331111113
LJun 6 · 21:28T. Kypr215970D. Unzeitig331111113
T. Kypr10
LOct 9 · 17:30D. Unzeitig1.801111113T. Kypr1.907590WOct 9 · 16:00M. Holub2.6311611462T. Kypr1.44411911113WOct 9 · 15:00Z. Pagac1.915440T. Kypr1.801111113LOct 9 · 14:30T. Kypr1.8081160D. Unzeitig1.911113113LOct 2 · 21:30T. Kypr1.65811931L. Kern2.1011511113WOct 2 · 20:30M. Holub2.209740T. Kypr1.611111113WOct 2 · 19:30T. Kypr2.1011912113M. Chalupa1.677111051WOct 2 · 18:30L. Kern2.38172161T. Kypr1.53111119113LSep 28 · 20:59M. Chalupa1.6711119123T. Kypr2.107911101LSep 28 · 20:30M. Holub2.631311113T. Kypr1.4411950
D. Unzeitig10
WOct 9 · 17:30D. Unzeitig1.801111113T. Kypr1.907590WOct 9 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.577540D. Unzeitig2.251111113LOct 9 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.9111671182M. Holub1.80611115113WOct 9 · 14:30T. Kypr1.8081160D. Unzeitig1.911113113LOct 5 · 17:29D. Unzeitig2.209111281J. Holubec1.6111714113WOct 5 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.50971471D. Unzeitig2.50111112113WOct 5 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.9113118133D. Langer1.8011911111LOct 5 · 14:30J. Holubec1.731116113D. Unzeitig2.0081490WSep 30 · 17:10D. Unzeitig1.7391111113J. Holubec2.00117671LSep 30 · 16:30D. Unzeitig2.00121179122J. Simecek1.731091111143
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