TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Milan Klement vs Martin Sopko 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA14 · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711411119211––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched: 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Sopko to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Martin Sopko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-9
Point 51 set 3, 9-9 · our read held Martin Sopko at 55.5%
51 points drawn · the score is 15 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Milan Klement 1–4 Martin Sopko Milan Klement has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:5455.5%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 0.1pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sopko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Sopko
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1623 vs Sopko 1687
Sopko
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 40% vs Sopko 60%
Sopko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 40% vs Sopko 80%
Sopko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement -3 · Sopko -1
Klement
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Sopko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 1.909 / Sopko 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Sopko)-0.1pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13268858
Klement1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 56 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Sopko1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 36 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKlement1wins
AwaySopko4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderSopko leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement33.3%1 of 3
AwaySopkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement3Sopko2n = 5Klement took 3 of 5
S2Klement2Sopko3n = 5Sopko took 3 of 5
S3Klement2Sopko3n = 5Sopko took 3 of 5
S4Klement0Sopko5n = 5Sopko took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKlementSopkoK − SBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.244.6−7.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementSopkoBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 880 vs 162 / 33450.8%48.5%447 / 880 vs 162 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SopkoKlement 1.91/Sopko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Sopko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sopko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 23 · 17:01M. Klement31811661M. Sopko4011711113
LAug 23 · 14:00M. Klement33941191M. Sopko3911116113
LJul 10 · 03:30M. Klement28115571M. Sopko4291111113
LJul 10 · 01:30M. Klement44119111032M. Sopko49911612113
WApr 22 · 19:30M. Klement501311104123M. Sopko531191211102
M. Klement10
LOct 10 · 18:00R. Pacha1.44414711113M. Klement2.63111211882LOct 10 · 09:30M. Nohejl2.151111113M. Klement1.636870LOct 10 · 08:00M. Klement1.67126991M. Nohejl2.10101111113WOct 10 · 07:30V. Dvorak3.255411101M. Klement1.3311116123WOct 10 · 06:00M. Klement1.531111113J. Zuzanek2.384890WOct 8 · 17:03M. Klement1.73711911123M. Wagner2.00116118102LOct 8 · 16:00M. Klement2.20611614112M. Wagner1.611131112133WOct 8 · 15:30A. Brazda2.634440M. Klement1.441111113LOct 8 · 14:00M. Klement1.8064111192P. Saleny1.91111199113LOct 7 · 13:30M. Klement1.83911111162M. Regner1.83113136113
M. Sopko10
LOct 10 · 18:30M. Sopko2.2051070T. Franek1.611112113WSep 26 · 13:30M. Regner1.83811851M. Sopko1.8311911113LSep 26 · 12:30M. Regner1.5311118113M. Sopko2.38881161WSep 26 · 11:30M. Sopko1.831210311113J. Tazler1.83101211772WSep 26 · 10:30J. Zuzanek3.25811171M. Sopko1.3311911113WSep 26 · 09:30M. Sopko1.5720118113M. Vondrak2.251891151WSep 26 · 08:30J. Louda1.807630M. Sopko1.911111113WSep 26 · 07:30M. Sopko1.731111113M. Vondrak2.007960WSep 26 · 06:30J. Zuzanek2.637680M. Sopko1.441111113WSep 16 · 03:00M. Sopko2.0011911143M. Sobisek1.738119121
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