TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jakub Mejzlik vs Ladislav Tuma 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181167111210––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:47 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Mejzlik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Mejzlik above · Ladislav Tuma below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 76 set 4, 12-10 · our read held Jakub Mejzlik at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mejzlik 2–1 Ladislav Tuma Ladislav Tuma has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:4754.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Tuma
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mejzlik 1473 vs Tuma 1443
Mejzlik
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mejzlik 100% vs Tuma 40%
Mejzlik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mejzlik 80% vs Tuma 50%
Mejzlik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mejzlik +6 · Tuma +1
Mejzlik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Mejzlik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMejzlik 1.833 / Tuma 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mejzlik)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13260950
Mejzlik1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 30) · back after a break
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Tuma1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Oct 02)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMejzlik2wins
AwayTuma1wins
Mejzlik leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mejzlik2Tuma1n = 3Mejzlik took 2 of 3
S2Mejzlik2Tuma1n = 3Mejzlik took 2 of 3
S3Mejzlik1Tuma2n = 3Tuma took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMejzlikTumaM − TBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match34.332.3+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMejzlikTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 292 vs 243 / 48150%50.5%146 / 292 vs 243 / 481Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikMejzlik 1.83/Tuma 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 19 · 08:37J. Mejzlik259790L. Tuma331111113
WAug 19 · 07:30J. Mejzlik4513119123L. Tuma3911711101
WAug 10 · 15:30J. Mejzlik331111113L. Tuma258890
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 30 · 17:09O. Plyska2.008812141J. Mejzlik1.73111110163WSep 30 · 15:30K. Polak1.7365100J. Mejzlik2.001111123WSep 30 · 15:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111133M. Vorel1.801183111WSep 30 · 14:00J. Mejzlik1.801110117113O. Plyska1.9141281152WSep 28 · 16:58J. Mejzlik1.571110711113P. Fiser2.2521211652WSep 28 · 16:00P. Fiser1.735990J. Mejzlik2.001111113LSep 28 · 15:00K. Polak1.911111113J. Mejzlik1.808550WSep 28 · 13:30J. Pina1.67311561J. Mejzlik2.1011911113WSep 27 · 12:18J. Mejzlik2.00111197123K. Jirousek1.73771111102LSep 27 · 11:45J. Mejzlik2.509960L. Hendrych1.501111113
L. Tuma10
WOct 2 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.7391181192L. Tuma2.00114118113LOct 2 · 16:00L. Tuma1.8081190J. Hanacek1.911113113LOct 2 · 14:30J. Blazek3.2511811113L. Tuma1.33811151WOct 2 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.9171111562L. Tuma1.80119411113LSep 29 · 16:28L. Tuma2.25116561K. Farsky1.5771111113WSep 29 · 15:30K. Farsky1.539101161L. Tuma2.3811125113WSep 29 · 15:00L. Tuma1.808111111113K. Polak1.9111681362LSep 29 · 14:00L. Tuma1.67135391P. Abraham2.10111111113LSep 24 · 16:28L. Tuma1.579101191P. Abraham2.2511126113WSep 24 · 15:30P. Abraham2.208111061L. Tuma1.6111912113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.