TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Arkadiusz Skupinski vs Zbigniew Nocun · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts Oct 8, 23:20Scheduled
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Head to head
19 – 34
All 53 meetings · 35.8%
Last 10 · 5–5
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Neither player arrives off a win: both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 6h before this match
Skupinski beat Nocun 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkupinski 3.09 / Nocun 1.27
TT Elite Series · #13260314
Skupinski3.09
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 40 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Nocun1.27
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 339 of 510
Up 2–0, closes it94% 167 of 177
Up 1–0, closes it86% 243 of 284
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkupinski5wins
AwayNocun5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkupinski80%4 of 5
AwayNocun80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skupinski5Nocun5n = 10split evenly
S2Skupinski4Nocun6n = 10Nocun took 6 of 10
S3Skupinski8Nocun2n = 10Skupinski took 8 of 10
S4Skupinski4Nocun1n = 5Skupinski took 4 of 5
S5Skupinski0Nocun3n = 3Nocun took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkupinskiNocunS − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.235.1+1.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkupinskiNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 414 vs 730 / 122637.9%59.5%157 / 414 vs 730 / 1226Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 17:20A. Skupinski331111113Z. Nocun123270
LOct 1 · 23:20A. Skupinski3663111152Z. Nocun50111189113
LOct 1 · 17:20A. Skupinski2257100Z. Nocun341111123
LSep 30 · 16:35A. Skupinski481151110112Z. Nocun51711812133
WSep 28 · 16:35A. Skupinski4391112113Z. Nocun361181071
LSep 23 · 16:35A. Skupinski4048121152Z. Nocun471111104113
WAug 26 · 19:40A. Skupinski4011711113Z. Nocun35911781
WJun 18 · 03:05A. Skupinski331111113Z. Nocun186570
LJun 17 · 21:05A. Skupinski269890Z. Nocun331111113
WJun 10 · 23:55A. Skupinski411313153Z. Nocun351111130
A. Skupinski10
LOct 8 · 22:10M. Guzik1.171211113A. Skupinski4.5010670LOct 8 · 21:20A. Skupinski4.333850H. Tkaczyk1.201111113LOct 8 · 19:40A. Skupinski3.00411501P. Gesiarz1.3611911113LOct 8 · 18:30A. Skupinski2.75108111112A. Kubiak1.40121188113WOct 8 · 17:20A. Skupinski2.631111113Z. Nocun1.443270LOct 8 · 16:15A. Zmijewski1.22118711113A. Skupinski4.0031111912LOct 8 · 15:25A. Skupinski4.0071080H. Tkaczyk1.221112113LOct 7 · 22:20P. Gesiarz1.541111113A. Skupinski2.257950WOct 7 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.496480A. Skupinski2.471111113LOct 7 · 20:45A. Skupinski1.753860A. Staniczek1.951111113
Z. Nocun10
LOct 8 · 22:35A. Zmijewski1.611111113Z. Nocun2.208550LOct 8 · 21:00M. Guzik1.141111163Z. Nocun5.0034140LOct 8 · 20:05A. Kubiak1.801111113Z. Nocun1.913940LOct 8 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk1.671111113Z. Nocun2.107870LOct 8 · 17:20A. Skupinski2.631111113Z. Nocun1.443270LOct 8 · 16:35P. Gesiarz2.381111113Z. Nocun1.538970WOct 8 · 15:00A. Zmijewski1.6779111382Z. Nocun2.101111511113WOct 8 · 02:35Z. Nocun2.101112163H. Tkaczyk1.67810140LOct 8 · 01:00Z. Nocun1.83109100J. Zelezik1.831211123LOct 7 · 23:45Z. Nocun1.53119111192J. Michalik2.38511137113
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