TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Sylwester Wloszek vs Pawel Gola 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119114511119––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:58 and never touched: 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timePawel Gola to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
119114511119––
H2H Sylwester Wloszek 42–75 Pawel Gola Sylwester Wloszek has won 42 of their 117 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5857.2%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
short by 5.3pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Gola
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
42-75 in 117
Gola
Wrong
gap of 33 in 117, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloszek 1530 vs Gola 1548
Gola
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloszek 60% vs Gola 40%
Wloszek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloszek 40% vs Gola 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloszek -1 · Gola -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Gola) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gola form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloszek 2.10 / Gola 1.60
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Gola)-5.3pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13257598
Wloszek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 122 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back16% 30 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 123
Gola1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 159 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it98% 83 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it86% 118 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloszek3wins
AwayGola7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGola leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloszek50%3 of 6
AwayGola100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloszek6Gola4n = 10Wloszek took 6 of 10
S2Wloszek3Gola7n = 10Gola took 7 of 10
S3Wloszek2Gola8n = 10Gola took 8 of 10
S4Wloszek2Gola3n = 5Gola took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloszekGolaW − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.436.5−4.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloszekGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 1118 vs 575 / 119143.9%48.3%491 / 1118 vs 575 / 1191Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GolaWloszek 2.10/Gola 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.2%
Gola · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wloszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 07:00S. Wloszek3811115113P. Gola33941191
LOct 5 · 10:00S. Wloszek258980P. Gola331111113
LSep 29 · 10:30S. Wloszek331131181P. Gola4381113113
LSep 24 · 05:00S. Wloszek371171091P. Gola4061112113
LSep 21 · 09:00S. Wloszek54111561392P. Gola588131115113
LSep 20 · 15:05S. Wloszek3115880P. Gola391711113
WSep 14 · 12:00S. Wloszek331111113P. Gola279990
WSep 13 · 15:35S. Wloszek4111811113P. Gola26111861
LSep 9 · 12:40S. Wloszek186660P. Gola331111113
LSep 2 · 13:40S. Wloszek144460P. Gola331111113
S. Wloszek10
LOct 7 · 06:00B. Molka1.8511119123S. Wloszek1.854711101WOct 5 · 12:40S. Wloszek1.801181311113S. Radlo1.9131115992WOct 5 · 12:00S. Wloszek1.4641117143J. Chojnacki2.5511915121LOct 5 · 10:00P. Gola1.541111113S. Wloszek2.258980WOct 5 · 08:00D. Stapor1.61912110S. Wloszek2.201114133LOct 5 · 07:00M. Galus1.4091311113S. Wloszek2.521111991LOct 5 · 06:00S. Wloszek2.101313511142S. Radlo1.661115116163LOct 4 · 23:05J. Masternak—1311113S. Wloszek—11990LOct 4 · 22:05S. Wloszek1.5777100J. Masternak2.251111123WOct 4 · 20:05M. Burkacki2.1091280S. Wloszek1.661114113
P. Gola10
LOct 7 · 05:00M. Burkacki2.0311114113P. Gola1.62771171LOct 6 · 13:30P. Gola1.80891171S. Radlo1.9011118113WOct 6 · 12:00M. Burkacki2.209880P. Gola1.601111113LOct 6 · 10:30P. Gola2.1698100M. Galus1.631111123WOct 6 · 08:30J. Chojnacki2.85611781P. Gola1.3611811113WOct 6 · 06:30M. Lysakowski2.00144561P. Gola1.70121111113WOct 6 · 05:30S. Radlo2.1014111321P. Gola1.6016715113LOct 5 · 13:10P. Gola1.3611691162J. Chojnacki2.90711118113LOct 5 · 11:00D. Stapor1.4671111113P. Gola2.50119881WOct 5 · 10:00P. Gola1.541111113S. Wloszek2.258980
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