TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Sylwester Wloszek vs Szymon Radlo 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
131113155111161416
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:47 and never touched: 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeSzymon Radlo to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
115 points played in total.
Set by set
131113155111161416
H2H Sylwester Wloszek 46–54 Szymon Radlo Sylwester Wloszek has won 46 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:4757.1%Our read60.2%to break even at 1.66
short by 3.1pp60.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.66 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Radlo
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
46-54 in 100
Radlo
Correct
gap of 8 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloszek 1492 vs Radlo 1585
Radlo
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloszek 20% vs Radlo 60%
Radlo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloszek 40% vs Radlo 60%
Radlo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloszek -2 · Radlo -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Radlo) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloszek 2.10 / Radlo 1.66
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Radlo)-3.1pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13246252
Wloszek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 121 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back16% 30 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 125
Radlo1.66
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 107 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it95% 56 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it75% 89 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloszek6wins
AwayRadlo4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWloszek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloszek75%6 of 8
AwayRadlon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloszek8Radlo2n = 10Wloszek took 8 of 10
S2Wloszek5Radlo5n = 10split evenly
S3Wloszek5Radlo5n = 10split evenly
S4Wloszek4Radlo2n = 6Wloszek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloszekRadloW − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.036.0+4.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloszekRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 1117 vs 404 / 81443.9%49.6%490 / 1117 vs 404 / 814Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RadloWloszek 2.10/Radlo 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.1%
Radlo · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 06:00S. Wloszek561313511142S. Radlo591115116163
LOct 4 · 17:05S. Wloszek411199121S. Radlo4481111143
LSep 30 · 10:00S. Wloszek269980S. Radlo331111113
WSep 29 · 06:30S. Wloszek50131114123S. Radlo4211516101
WSep 22 · 06:00S. Wloszek4211811123S. Radlo399119101
WSep 21 · 05:30S. Wloszek3911611113S. Radlo30711661
LSep 20 · 20:35S. Wloszek4010111091S. Radlo4012512113
WSep 17 · 10:00S. Wloszek381215113S. Radlo29101360
WSep 13 · 21:05S. Wloszek331111113S. Radlo228860
WSep 10 · 05:50S. Wloszek351311113S. Radlo2211290
S. Wloszek10
LOct 5 · 07:00M. Galus1.4091311113S. Wloszek2.521111991LOct 4 · 23:05J. Masternak—1311113S. Wloszek—11990LOct 4 · 22:05S. Wloszek1.5777100J. Masternak2.251111123WOct 4 · 20:05M. Burkacki2.1091280S. Wloszek1.661114113LOct 4 · 18:05B. Molka1.9511811113S. Wloszek1.76811891LOct 4 · 17:05S. Wloszek2.051199121S. Radlo1.7081111143WOct 4 · 16:05M. Lysakowski2.00116117112S. Wloszek1.73711911133WOct 3 · 13:35S. Wloszek—11811173B. Molka—8118151LOct 3 · 12:35J. Masternak2.051110911113S. Wloszek1.7061211992WOct 3 · 11:35B. Molka1.937101281S. Wloszek1.77111210113
S. Radlo10
LOct 5 · 05:00D. Stapor1.68111611113S. Radlo2.05918761WOct 4 · 23:35S. Radlo2.151111123B. Molka1.6285100WOct 4 · 21:35M. Lysakowski1.5899111192S. Radlo2.25111126113LOct 4 · 20:35J. Masternak2.051116133S. Radlo1.66914110WOct 4 · 19:05M. Burkacki2.20117891S. Radlo1.5891111113WOct 4 · 17:05S. Wloszek2.051199121S. Radlo1.7081111143WOct 4 · 15:05B. Molka1.861296101S. Radlo1.83101111123LOct 1 · 12:30S. Radlo—9711121M. Burkacki—11117143WOct 1 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.25881171S. Radlo1.5711118113LOct 1 · 10:30D. Stapor1.801112159113S. Radlo1.90710171182
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