TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Szymon Radlo vs Bartlomiej Molka 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181151210––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1181151210––––
H2H Szymon Radlo 54–52 Bartlomiej Molka Bartlomiej Molka has won 52 of their 106 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 9h before this match
Radlo beat Molka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 2.15 / Molka 1.62
TT Cup · #13246136
Radlo2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 170 of 339
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 96
Molka1.62
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 63 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it76% 44 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo6wins
AwayMolka4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRadlo leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo100%3 of 3
AwayMolka57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo3Molka7n = 10Molka took 7 of 10
S2Radlo5Molka5n = 10split evenly
S3Radlo4Molka6n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S4Radlo5Molka1n = 6Radlo took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloMolkaR − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.939.0−1.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloMolkaBasisWin rate · lifetime402 / 811 vs 550 / 118949.6%46.3%402 / 811 vs 550 / 1189Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MolkaRadlo 2.15/Molka 1.62
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 15:05S. Radlo44101111123B. Molka371296101
WSep 30 · 08:00S. Radlo4012116113B. Molka351071171
WSep 28 · 11:30S. Radlo45111112113B. Molka401391081
LSep 23 · 12:40S. Radlo246990B. Molka331111113
WSep 23 · 11:00S. Radlo58127159153B. Molka5810111311132
LSep 22 · 09:30S. Radlo279990B. Molka331111113
LSep 21 · 08:30S. Radlo28111070B. Molka361312113
WSep 20 · 22:05S. Radlo4411117153B. Molka429911131
WSep 16 · 12:40S. Radlo4461111163B. Molka411188141
LSep 16 · 05:00S. Radlo2511860B. Molka351311113
S. Radlo10
WOct 4 · 21:35M. Lysakowski1.5899111192S. Radlo2.25111126113LOct 4 · 20:35J. Masternak2.051116133S. Radlo1.66914110WOct 4 · 19:05M. Burkacki2.20117891S. Radlo1.5891111113WOct 4 · 17:05S. Wloszek2.051199121S. Radlo1.7081111143WOct 4 · 15:05B. Molka1.861296101S. Radlo1.83101111123LOct 1 · 12:30S. Radlo—9711121M. Burkacki—11117143WOct 1 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.25881171S. Radlo1.5711118113LOct 1 · 10:30D. Stapor1.801112159113S. Radlo1.90710171182WOct 1 · 09:00P. Gola1.6078111262S. Radlo2.201111910113LOct 1 · 06:00J. Masternak2.20131114123S. Radlo1.5815912101
B. Molka10
WOct 4 · 21:05B. Molka1.741111113M. Burkacki1.956880WOct 4 · 19:35B. Molka2.5511115113M. Lysakowski1.44781191WOct 4 · 18:05B. Molka1.9511811113S. Wloszek1.76811891WOct 4 · 16:35B. Molka1.831111133J. Masternak1.8607110LOct 4 · 15:05B. Molka1.861296101S. Radlo1.83101111123LOct 3 · 13:35S. Wloszek—11811173B. Molka—8118151WOct 3 · 13:05M. Burkacki1.929870B. Molka1.801111113LOct 3 · 11:35B. Molka1.937101281S. Wloszek1.77111210113LOct 3 · 09:35J. Masternak2.001111113B. Molka1.717990LOct 3 · 07:35M. Lysakowski1.4081111113B. Molka2.75119971
Upcoming Matches
S. Radlo
B. Molka
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