TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Mateusz Burkacki vs Sylwester Wloszek 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711511––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched: 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeSylwester Wloszek to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
811711511––––
H2H Mateusz Burkacki 13–17 Sylwester Wloszek Mateusz Burkacki has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5756.1%Our read60.6%to break even at 1.65
short by 4.5pp60.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.65 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Wloszek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-17 in 30
Wloszek
Correct
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1518 vs Wloszek 1530
Wloszek
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 60% vs Wloszek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 40% vs Wloszek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki -1 · Wloszek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Wloszek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 2.10 / Wloszek 1.65
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Wloszek)-4.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13257899
Burkacki2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 65 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 68
Wloszek1.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 55 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurkacki6wins
AwayWloszek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBurkacki leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurkacki100%3 of 3
AwayWloszek57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burkacki3Wloszek7n = 10Wloszek took 7 of 10
S2Burkacki6Wloszek4n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S3Burkacki5Wloszek5n = 10split evenly
S4Burkacki4Wloszek4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurkackiWloszekB − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.139.0−0.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 269 vs 491 / 111840.5%43.9%109 / 269 vs 491 / 1118Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WloszekBurkacki 2.10/Wloszek 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Wloszek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wloszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 4 · 20:05M. Burkacki2991280S. Wloszek361114113
WOct 3 · 08:05M. Burkacki4281111123S. Wloszek391199101
LSep 14 · 13:30M. Burkacki361251451S. Wloszek48141112113
WSep 14 · 10:30M. Burkacki4011117113S. Wloszek35961191
WSep 9 · 11:30M. Burkacki3961111113S. Wloszek35118971
WSep 8 · 11:30M. Burkacki511011118113S. Wloszek3912281162
WSep 3 · 11:00M. Burkacki511111711113S. Wloszek4576111382
LSep 2 · 08:30M. Burkacki166370S. Wloszek331111113
WJul 7 · 06:30M. Burkacki4211811123S. Wloszek369116101
LJul 6 · 07:30M. Burkacki35913761S. Wloszek44111111113
M. Burkacki10
LOct 7 · 06:30M. Burkacki2.277880D. Stapor1.571111113WOct 7 · 05:00M. Burkacki2.0311114113P. Gola1.62771171WOct 6 · 12:30M. Burkacki—119911113M. Galus—91111462LOct 6 · 12:00M. Burkacki2.209880P. Gola1.601111113WOct 6 · 10:00S. Radlo1.60911111082M. Burkacki2.20117912113LOct 6 · 08:00M. Lysakowski1.391211113M. Burkacki2.8010880WOct 6 · 07:00M. Burkacki1.5512114113M. Galus2.311091191LOct 6 · 06:00J. Chojnacki2.401111113M. Burkacki1.512670LOct 4 · 22:35M. Burkacki—8690M. Lysakowski—1111113LOct 4 · 21:05B. Molka1.741111113M. Burkacki1.956880
S. Wloszek10
WOct 7 · 07:00S. Wloszek2.1011115113P. Gola1.60941191LOct 7 · 06:00B. Molka1.8511119123S. Wloszek1.854711101WOct 5 · 12:40S. Wloszek1.801181311113S. Radlo1.9131115992WOct 5 · 12:00S. Wloszek1.4641117143J. Chojnacki2.5511915121LOct 5 · 10:00P. Gola1.541111113S. Wloszek2.258980WOct 5 · 08:00D. Stapor1.61912110S. Wloszek2.201114133LOct 5 · 07:00M. Galus1.4091311113S. Wloszek2.521111991LOct 5 · 06:00S. Wloszek2.101313511142S. Radlo1.661115116163LOct 4 · 23:05J. Masternak—1311113S. Wloszek—11990LOct 4 · 22:05S. Wloszek1.5777100J. Masternak2.251111123
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