TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Moravek vs Jan Framberk 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511111––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJiri Moravek above · Jan Framberk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 48 set 3, 1-11
48 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Moravek 4–3 Jan Framberk Jan Framberk has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Moravek beat Framberk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravek 1.50 / Framberk 2.50
Czech Liga Pro · #13256322
Moravek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 25 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Framberk2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 30 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back27% 13 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMoravek4wins
AwayFramberk3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderMoravek leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFramberk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravek2Framberk5n = 7Framberk took 5 of 7
S2Moravek6Framberk1n = 7Moravek took 6 of 7
S3Moravek4Framberk3n = 7Moravek took 4 of 7
S4Moravek2Framberk3n = 5Framberk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMoravekFramberkM − FBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match40.137.4+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravekFramberkBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 179 vs 94 / 17950.3%52.5%90 / 179 vs 94 / 179Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MoravekMoravek 1.50/Framberk 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Framberk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WOct 6 · 19:30J. Moravek331111113J. Framberk196760
WAug 27 · 19:00J. Moravek4291111113J. Framberk32114891
LJul 14 · 20:58J. Moravek401413851J. Framberk49161111113
WJul 14 · 19:30J. Moravek47413118113J. Framberk49111181182
LJun 16 · 18:00J. Moravek2788110J. Framberk351111133
LJun 14 · 20:00J. Moravek46111294102J. Framberk484101111123
WMay 27 · 18:30J. Moravek46131111113J. Framberk30156361
J. Moravek10
LOct 6 · 20:00J. Moravek1.5010780M. Stefek2.501211113WOct 6 · 19:30J. Framberk2.206760J. Moravek1.611111113LOct 6 · 18:00J. Moravek2.38415101162T. Regner1.531113126113WSep 28 · 09:00J. Moravek1.50981112113M. Stefek2.50111171092LSep 28 · 08:00T. Nohejl1.8011613123J. Moravek1.9181111101WSep 28 · 07:00M. Stefek2.3551111862J. Moravek1.53117811113LSep 28 · 06:28J. Moravek1.835460A. Svoboda1.831111113WSep 23 · 20:58V. Kosar1.678690J. Moravek2.101111113LSep 23 · 20:30V. Kosar2.101111113J. Moravek1.672780WSep 23 · 19:30J. Moravek2.50119118123R. Bartunek1.50911711102
J. Framberk10
WOct 6 · 20:30T. Regner2.1096111172J. Framberk1.67111149113LOct 6 · 19:30J. Framberk2.206760J. Moravek1.611111113LOct 6 · 18:30M. Stefek1.401111143J. Framberk2.7578120WOct 6 · 17:00M. Syroha2.0511114652J. Framberk1.65591111113LOct 6 · 16:00M. Barta2.10911312113J. Framberk1.67117111062WOct 6 · 15:00M. Syroha2.20711661J. Framberk1.6111311113LOct 6 · 14:30J. Framberk1.4041020V. Hruska Sr2.751112113LOct 1 · 03:00M. Stefek1.441311113J. Framberk2.6311680LOct 1 · 02:00J. Framberk3.2510680V. Dolezal1.331211113WOct 1 · 01:00J. Framberk2.5012118113M. Novak1.501091121
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