TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Regner vs Tomek Batog 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1194111012115311
Tomek Batog
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Tomek Batog below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 87 set 5, 3-11 · our read held Michal Regner at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Michal Regner 9–3 Tomek Batog Tomek Batog has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:5554.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909
clears by 1.6pp52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Batog
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Regner
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1684 vs Batog 1612
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 80% vs Batog 20%
Regner
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 90% vs Batog 20%
Regner
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +3 · Batog +1
Regner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Regner) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Batog form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.909 / Batog 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Regner)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13254655
Regner1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 111 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 74
Batog1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 90 days ago (Jul 10) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite33% won 4 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it60% 3 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner8wins
AwayBatog2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner85.7%6 of 7
AwayBatog33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner7Batog3n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S2Regner8Batog2n = 10Regner took 8 of 10
S3Regner3Batog7n = 10Batog took 7 of 10
S4Regner7Batog1n = 8Regner took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerBatogR − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.933.4+5.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerBatogBasisWin rate · lifetime526 / 1077 vs 32 / 6748.8%47.8%526 / 1077 vs 32 / 67Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.91/Batog 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Batog won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 9 · 22:30M. Regner48711118113T. Batog4511861192
WJun 5 · 00:00M. Regner46111113113T. Batog411391181
WFeb 25 · 03:30M. Regner4011117113T. Batog32761181
LFeb 12 · 01:30M. Regner4611691192T. Batog46711116113
WJan 13 · 00:00M. Regner4011117113T. Batog23421161
WDec 17 · 02:00M. Regner3811115113T. Batog28971111
WDec 1 · 01:30M. Regner331111113T. Batog206590
WJul 17 · 03:00M. Regner4011126113T. Batog284101131
WJul 16 · 23:00M. Regner3611131113T. Batog389111171
LFeb 27 · 02:00M. Regner229580T. Batog331111113
M. Regner10
LOct 7 · 23:30M. Regner1.73451141J. Zuzanek2.0011119113WOct 7 · 13:30M. Klement1.83911111162M. Regner1.83113136113WOct 7 · 12:00M. Regner2.0011114113V. Vejvoda1.73661181WOct 7 · 11:30M. Volf2.001051251M. Regner1.73121110113LOct 7 · 10:00M. Regner1.8327111132M. Klement1.83111186113WOct 6 · 09:30M. Regner1.8391211113J. Louda1.831110571WOct 6 · 08:30M. Regner1.831111710113J. Louda1.8398111262WOct 6 · 07:00M. Regner1.80611117113M. Sychra1.9111671152WOct 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.7311671482M. Regner2.003111112113WOct 3 · 13:30M. Regner1.859111011133M. Klement1.85119128112
T. Batog10
LOct 7 · 23:00T. Batog2.00117512102V. Vejvoda1.739111110123WJul 10 · 01:30T. Batog2.0011113123M. Sychra1.734711101LJul 10 · 00:30J. Louda1.83712911113T. Batog1.83111011372LJul 9 · 23:30M. Klement2.75119814113T. Batog1.40711111282LJul 9 · 22:30T. Batog2.1011861192M. Regner1.67711118113LJun 5 · 02:30T. Batog2.109411101S. Kasnik1.6711119123LJun 5 · 01:30D. Hofman1.9111911123T. Batog1.809118101LJun 5 · 00:00T. Batog1.611391181M. Regner2.20111113113WJun 4 · 23:00M. Pikous2.209101181T. Batog1.6111129113LMay 4 · 02:58O. Svacha2.00117711113T. Batog1.7391111792
Upcoming Matches
M. Regner
T. Batog
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.