TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Miroslav Stolba vs Dalibor Kolek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
2115111113––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:14 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeDalibor Kolek to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Stolba above · Dalibor Kolek below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 53 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Dalibor Kolek at 57.7%
53 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:1457.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 4.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stolba 1201 vs Kolek 1315
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolba 60% vs Kolek 80%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolba 60% vs Kolek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolba -1 · Kolek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Kolek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolba 2.20 / Kolek 1.615
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kolek)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13254257
Stolba2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 16 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Kolek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolbaKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 117 vs 20 / 4949.6%40.8%58 / 117 vs 20 / 49Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolekStolba 2.20/Kolek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Stolba10
LOct 7 · 12:30Z. Luksa1.40111212133M. Stolba2.7591410111LOct 7 · 10:30M. Levicky1.531111113M. Stolba2.389890WOct 5 · 13:30M. Derco1.738780M. Stolba2.001111113WOct 5 · 12:30I. Kolenciak1.532640M. Stolba2.381111113LOct 5 · 11:30M. Stolba2.109111391M. Derco1.6711915113WOct 5 · 10:30I. Palmi2.505660M. Stolba1.501111113LSep 30 · 09:28Z. Luksa1.4413118113M. Stolba2.631181181WSep 30 · 08:30A. Kanak1.73113751M. Stolba2.0071111113LSep 30 · 07:30M. Stolba2.6381161192Z. Luksa1.44114118113WSep 30 · 06:30J. Toth1.7389100M. Stolba2.001111123
D. Kolek10
WOct 7 · 12:00D. Kolek1.8351111113M. Levicky1.83111721WOct 7 · 10:00D. Kolek1.67311116143Z. Luksa2.10115811122LOct 3 · 21:29D. Kolek1.83118917102A. Schneeberger1.838111115123WOct 3 · 20:30A. Schneeberger1.6196111262D. Kolek2.201111510113WOct 3 · 19:30D. Kolek1.731111113Z. Zientek2.007980WOct 3 · 18:30M. Levicky1.619780D. Kolek2.201111113LOct 3 · 17:00R. Adamczyk2.301211113D. Kolek1.5510670LOct 3 · 16:00D. Kolek1.619740P. Banot2.201111113WOct 3 · 15:30R. Adamczyk2.20481141D. Kolek1.6111119113LOct 3 · 14:00D. Kolek2.201191161M. Levicky1.6191113113
Upcoming Matches
M. Stolba
D. Kolek
Nothing scheduled
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