TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Urbaniec vs Filip Wolf 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511411311––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:58 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeFilip Wolf to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Filip Wolf below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 45 set 3, 3-11 · our read held Filip Wolf at 60.8%
45 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 0–2 Filip Wolf Radim Urbaniec has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5860.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Wolf
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1769 vs Wolf 1764
Urbaniec
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 20% vs Wolf 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 40% vs Wolf 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Wolf -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Wolf) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolf form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.375 / Wolf 1.533
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Wolf)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13254245
Urbaniec2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 187 of 467
Down 0–1, comes back23% 59 of 262
Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 145
Wolf1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 65 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it73% 47 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeUrbaniec0wins
AwayWolf2wins
Wolf leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricUrbaniecWolfU − WBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match25.536.5−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecWolfBasisWin rate · lifetime687 / 1344 vs 107 / 21351.1%50.2%687 / 1344 vs 107 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WolfUrbaniec 2.38/Wolf 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Wolf · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wolf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 18 · 22:00R. Urbaniec27119431F. Wolf3961111113
LAug 17 · 16:00R. Urbaniec2410590F. Wolf341211113
R. Urbaniec10
WOct 7 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.20111311113M. Jezek1.611311771WOct 7 · 14:00J. Nesnera1.611161391R. Urbaniec2.20131111113LOct 6 · 17:09D. Ondryas3.25771111113R. Urbaniec1.3311114882LOct 6 · 16:30M. Grundel1.33118119113R. Urbaniec3.2551181182LOct 6 · 15:30R. Urbaniec1.91814461M. Navedla1.80111211113LOct 6 · 14:30D. Ondryas1.801111113R. Urbaniec1.912780LOct 4 · 17:30M. Grundel1.171111113R. Urbaniec4.506990WOct 4 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.001111113F. Nadymacek1.739450WOct 4 · 15:00R. Urbaniec3.402111111123M. Grundel1.30114136102LOct 4 · 14:00M. Cabis1.33811118113R. Urbaniec3.2511351122
F. Wolf10
LOct 7 · 16:00J. Nesnera1.57121110113F. Wolf2.251071261LOct 7 · 14:30F. Wolf1.615770M. Jezek2.201111113WSep 23 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk2.389980F. Wolf1.531111113LSep 23 · 16:00F. Wolf1.44511811102O. Kolisnyk2.63118116123LSep 23 · 15:30P. Gireth1.8371211113F. Wolf1.831110551LSep 23 · 14:00F. Wolf2.2081161142P. Bradach1.61118118113WSep 2 · 02:00F. Wolf1.5011116113M. Huk2.50681171LSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123LSep 2 · 00:00E. Mares1.671112113F. Wolf2.1081060LSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
F. Wolf
Nothing scheduled
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