Milan Klement vs Matej Volf 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Oct 7Finished

Milan Klement

Home

1.40

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 4

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

911411118118117

Matej Volf

Away

2.75

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:15 and never touched: 56.1% is still 56.1%

Graded at full time

Milan Klement to win

56.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMilan Klement above · Matej Volf below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 11-8

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 91 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Milan Klement at 56.1%

91 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 12:15

56.1%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40

short by 15.3pp

71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.40 (66%)

Klement

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Klement 1625 vs Volf 1614

Klement

Correct

both rated, 11 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Klement 80% vs Volf 20%

Klement

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Klement 50% vs Volf 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Klement +4 · Volf -2

Klement

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Klement) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Volf form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKlement 1.40 / Volf 2.75

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Klement)-15.3pp (anti-value)

Czech Liga Pro · #13254172

Klement1.40

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite55% won 114 of 208

Up 2–0, closes it90% 61 of 68

Up 1–0, closes it70% 81 of 116

Volf2.75

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog44% won 30 of 69

Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38

Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKlementVolfBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 877 vs 205 / 39250.9%52.3%446 / 877 vs 205 / 392Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Klement

Klement 1.40/Volf 2.75

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

56.1%

Klement · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Klement won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Klement10