TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Skulina vs Lukas Slavik 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911611––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:01 and never touched: 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Lukas Slavik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 · our read held David Skulina at 58.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 2–0 Lukas Slavik Lukas Slavik has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:0158.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 3.4pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skulina
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1659 vs Slavik 1622
Skulina
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 60% vs Slavik 40%
Skulina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 80% vs Slavik 40%
Skulina
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina -1 · Slavik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Skulina) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.615 / Slavik 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Skulina)-3.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13253545
Skulina1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 28 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 23 of 31
Slavik2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 40 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back32% 16 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkulina2wins
AwaySlavik0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSkulina leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkulinaSlavikSkulina − SlavikBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.031.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaSlavikBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 187 vs 132 / 25450.8%52%95 / 187 vs 132 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.61/Slavik 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 6 · 19:45D. Skulina331111113L. Slavik269980
WFeb 24 · 10:40D. Skulina49881111113L. Slavik3611114642
D. Skulina10
LOct 6 · 16:40D. Skulina1.80119111172J. Krupnik1.91131185113LOct 6 · 14:45B. Moravec1.537101111123D. Skulina2.38111279102WOct 6 · 14:15J. Krupnik2.00119591D. Skulina1.7381111113LOct 5 · 17:08D. Skulina1.9177111172F. Chaloupka1.80111186113WOct 5 · 15:40F. Chaloupka1.73121180D. Skulina2.001413113WOct 5 · 15:10L. Dzida2.109970D. Skulina1.671111113WOct 5 · 14:10D. Skulina1.5311117123K. Kleprlik2.386811101WSep 22 · 17:25D. Skulina1.671113123J. Pribyl2.10811100WSep 22 · 15:45B. Moravec1.4461111111D. Skulina2.6311613133WSep 22 · 15:15F. Chaloupka1.7396111262D. Skulina2.001111810113
L. Slavik10
WOct 6 · 17:10B. Moravec1.736180L. Slavik2.001111113WOct 6 · 15:15L. Slavik2.001111113J. Krupnik1.735780LOct 6 · 13:45B. Moravec1.67981211113L. Slavik2.10111110632LOct 5 · 09:25L. Slavik2.0011111061R. Benes1.7313612113LOct 5 · 07:45B. Mrowetz1.501111113L. Slavik2.506880WOct 5 · 07:15T. Krenek1.91411951L. Slavik1.8011411113WOct 5 · 06:15L. Slavik2.2011111011113R. Benes1.6113412672LOct 2 · 20:53K. Kleprlik2.006151111113L. Slavik1.7311176592WOct 2 · 19:45L. Slavik1.9111116113D. Stusek1.80991191LOct 2 · 18:45L. Slavik1.6741011101K. Kleprlik2.1011129123
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