TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dawid Dytko vs Wojciech Urban 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
41111912101113711
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:06 and never touched: 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Wojciech Urban @ 1.71 · Won
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
41111912101113711
H2H Dawid Dytko 1–6 Wojciech Urban Dawid Dytko has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:0655.9%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
short by 6.6pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Urban
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dytko 1353 vs Urban 1439
Urban
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dytko 80% vs Urban 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dytko 60% vs Urban 90%
Urban
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dytko +2 · Urban -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Urban) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDytko 2.20 / Urban 1.60
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Urban)-6.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13250592
Dytko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 14 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Urban1.60
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 179 of 305
Up 2–0, closes it97% 76 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it75% 130 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDytko1wins
AwayUrban6wins
3 of 7 to a deciderUrban leads 6–1, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDytkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayUrban100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dytko2Urban5n = 7Urban took 5 of 7
S2Dytko4Urban3n = 7Dytko took 4 of 7
S3Dytko4Urban3n = 7Dytko took 4 of 7
S4Dytko0Urban4n = 4Urban took 4 of 4
S5Dytko0Urban3n = 3Urban took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricDytkoUrbanD − UBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match35.040.0−5.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDytkoUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 299 vs 821 / 173055.2%47.5%165 / 299 vs 821 / 1730Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanDytko 2.20/Urban 1.60
Hit
What we said
55.9%
Urban · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Wojciech Urban @ 1.71 · Won
What happened
2–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LOct 4 · 23:30D. Dytko169160W. Urban331111113
LOct 4 · 19:10D. Dytko209920W. Urban331111113
LMar 20 · 07:00D. Dytko23115431W. Urban3851111113
LNov 12 · 01:25D. Dytko53711111592W. Urban53116817113
WNov 11 · 21:45D. Dytko331111113W. Urban246990
LNov 5 · 12:30D. Dytko5091511872W. Urban531113711113
LNov 5 · 08:10D. Dytko50811111192W. Urban46116513113
D. Dytko10
LOct 5 · 20:45D. Dytko2.1099110P. Gumulinski1.601111133WOct 5 · 18:20K. Kowalski3.101125111D. Dytko1.3051111133WOct 5 · 05:05D. Dytko2.201111113P. Gumulinski1.588770LOct 5 · 03:30D. Dytko1.7511341132P. Kurek1.90511117113WOct 5 · 02:20D. Dytko1.121111113K. Kowalski4.907890WOct 5 · 00:45D. Dytko1.551111113J. Nowak2.258570LOct 4 · 23:30D. Dytko1.989160W. Urban1.731111113WOct 4 · 22:20J. Nowak2.258770D. Dytko1.571111113WOct 4 · 21:30P. Kurek1.6711961192D. Dytko2.10711117113LOct 4 · 20:45D. Dytko2.1591181182P. Gumulinski1.63118117113
W. Urban10
WOct 5 · 19:55K. Adamus2.259990W. Urban1.551111113LOct 5 · 17:30L. Oracz1.821111123W. Urban1.8898100WOct 5 · 04:40K. Kowalski4.803860W. Urban1.161111113WOct 5 · 03:55P. Gumulinski1.4521191172W. Urban2.50112114113WOct 5 · 01:55J. Nowak2.857850W. Urban1.351111113WOct 5 · 01:10P. Kurek1.8278111382W. Urban1.881111411113WOct 4 · 23:30D. Dytko1.989160W. Urban1.731111113WOct 4 · 22:40K. Kowalski2.5011631162W. Urban1.45911117113WOct 4 · 21:55P. Gumulinski1.4710711101W. Urban2.5012116123WOct 4 · 19:55J. Nowak2.808101191W. Urban1.3911127113
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