TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Lukasz Oracz vs Dawid Dytko 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911118116511118
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched: 60.6% is still 60.6%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
60.6%
60.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
911118116511118
H2H Lukasz Oracz 6–3 Dawid Dytko Dawid Dytko has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:2660.6%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.57
short by 3.1pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.57 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Oracz
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1373 vs Dytko 1340
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 60% vs Dytko 40%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 60% vs Dytko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz -1 · Dytko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Oracz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.57 / Dytko 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Oracz)-3.1pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13251429
Oracz1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 359 of 567
Up 2–0, closes it97% 201 of 208
Up 1–0, closes it82% 279 of 342
Dytko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 14 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeOracz6wins
AwayDytko3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderOracz leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz80%4 of 5
AwayDytko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz5Dytko4n = 9Oracz took 5 of 9
S2Oracz5Dytko4n = 9Oracz took 5 of 9
S3Oracz4Dytko5n = 9Dytko took 5 of 9
S4Oracz4Dytko2n = 6Oracz took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricOraczDytkoO − DBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.336.3+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczDytkoBasisWin rate · lifetime864 / 1571 vs 165 / 30055%55%864 / 1571 vs 165 / 300Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.57/Dytko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.6%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 29 · 03:05L. Oracz218760D. Dytko331111113
WSep 28 · 21:05L. Oracz331111113D. Dytko194780
WMay 20 · 13:55L. Oracz53119913113D. Dytko45811111142
WMay 20 · 07:55L. Oracz361213113D. Dytko28101170
WApr 2 · 15:05L. Oracz4211711133D. Dytko325115111
LApr 2 · 09:05L. Oracz351110681D. Dytko4281211113
WFeb 12 · 14:10L. Oracz549131011113D. Dytko51111112892
LFeb 12 · 06:30L. Oracz39715891D. Dytko46111311113
WJan 10 · 13:45L. Oracz4181111113D. Dytko31118841
L. Oracz10
LOct 6 · 04:20K. Adamus1.551211113L. Oracz2.1510850WOct 6 · 03:30D. Dytko2.4071131192L. Oracz1.51118117113LOct 6 · 02:10L. Oracz2.2010111031P. Gumulinski1.5712912113LOct 6 · 00:50L. Oracz1.9011670W. Urban1.801311113WOct 6 · 00:10K. Kowalski3.86118741L. Oracz1.2281111113WOct 5 · 23:05L. Oracz1.871111113P. Gumulinski1.838990LOct 5 · 20:20L. Oracz1.27121111772K. Kowalski3.351013211113WOct 5 · 18:45L. Oracz1.7511156113K. Adamus1.909131181WOct 5 · 17:30L. Oracz1.821111123W. Urban1.8898100WOct 4 · 16:20L. Oracz1.801111143P. Jedrzejak1.8565120
D. Dytko10
LOct 6 · 05:05D. Dytko2.377121061P. Gumulinski1.52111012113LOct 6 · 03:30D. Dytko2.4071131192L. Oracz1.51118117113LOct 6 · 01:50D. Dytko1.329740K. Kowalski3.001111113WOct 6 · 00:30D. Dytko2.001114113K. Adamus1.7171280LOct 5 · 23:30D. Dytko2.08116813102W. Urban1.687111111123LOct 5 · 22:20K. Adamus1.722111111113D. Dytko2.0011913552LOct 5 · 20:45D. Dytko2.1099110P. Gumulinski1.601111133LOct 5 · 19:10D. Dytko2.20411121172W. Urban1.601191013113WOct 5 · 18:20K. Kowalski3.101125111D. Dytko1.3051111133WOct 5 · 05:05D. Dytko2.201111113P. Gumulinski1.588770
Upcoming Matches
L. Oracz
Oct 7 · 03:50L. Oracz2.00O. Vincenec1.73—Oct 7 · 04:55L. Oracz1.30P. Slosarczyk3.40—Oct 7 · 05:40L. Oracz1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—Oct 7 · 06:30L. Oracz2.25K. Slawinski1.57—Oct 7 · 08:10L. Oracz2.00J. Pruszkowski1.73—Oct 7 · 09:50L. Oracz1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—Oct 7 · 11:00L. Oracz1.30P. Slosarczyk3.40—Oct 7 · 11:50L. Oracz2.00O. Vincenec1.73—Oct 7 · 12:40L. Oracz2.25K. Slawinski1.57—Oct 7 · 14:20L. Oracz2.00J. Pruszkowski1.73—
D. Dytko
Nothing scheduled
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