TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dawid Dytko vs Piotr Gumulinski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:04 and never touched: 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
118117117––––
H2H Dawid Dytko 5–4 Piotr Gumulinski Piotr Gumulinski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Gumulinski beat Dytko 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:0460.9%Our read63.3%to break even at 1.58
short by 2.4pp63.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.58 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (58%)
Gumulinski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dytko 1357 vs Gumulinski 1413
Gumulinski
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dytko 60% vs Gumulinski 40%
Dytko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dytko 50% vs Gumulinski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dytko -1 · Gumulinski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Gumulinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDytko 2.20 / Gumulinski 1.58
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Gumulinski)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13246643
Dytko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 14 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Gumulinski1.58
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 381 of 611
Up 2–0, closes it95% 170 of 179
Up 1–0, closes it78% 254 of 327
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeDytko5wins
AwayGumulinski4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderDytko leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDytko66.7%2 of 3
AwayGumulinski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dytko3Gumulinski6n = 9Gumulinski took 6 of 9
S2Dytko5Gumulinski4n = 9Dytko took 5 of 9
S3Dytko6Gumulinski3n = 9Dytko took 6 of 9
S4Dytko3Gumulinski4n = 7Gumulinski took 4 of 7
S5Dytko2Gumulinski1n = 3Dytko took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricDytkoGumulinskiD − GBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match40.839.1+1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDytkoGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 297 vs 1035 / 182555.2%56.7%164 / 297 vs 1035 / 1825Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiDytko 2.20/Gumulinski 1.58
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dytko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 5 · 05:05D. Dytko331111113P. Gumulinski228770
LOct 4 · 20:45D. Dytko4791181182P. Gumulinski48118117113
LNov 5 · 15:20D. Dytko401191191P. Gumulinski4381113113
WNov 5 · 07:20D. Dytko44711114113P. Gumulinski3911821172
WSep 13 · 03:55D. Dytko49712117123P. Gumulinski491110711102
WSep 12 · 21:55D. Dytko44111111113P. Gumulinski34138671
WAug 16 · 08:45D. Dytko4111811113P. Gumulinski30511951
LApr 25 · 16:40D. Dytko2966170P. Gumulinski411111193
LApr 25 · 10:40D. Dytko401271291P. Gumulinski46141110113
D. Dytko10
LOct 5 · 03:30D. Dytko1.7511341132P. Kurek1.90511117113WOct 5 · 02:20D. Dytko1.121111113K. Kowalski4.907890WOct 5 · 00:45D. Dytko1.551111113J. Nowak2.258570LOct 4 · 23:30D. Dytko1.989160W. Urban1.731111113WOct 4 · 22:20J. Nowak2.258770D. Dytko1.571111113WOct 4 · 21:30P. Kurek1.6711961192D. Dytko2.10711117113LOct 4 · 20:45D. Dytko2.1591181182P. Gumulinski1.63118117113LOct 4 · 19:10D. Dytko2.109920W. Urban1.661111113WOct 4 · 18:20K. Kowalski2.60511451D. Dytko1.4211811113LSep 29 · 04:40D. Dytko1.8399110O. Sokolowski1.871111133
P. Gumulinski10
LOct 5 · 03:55P. Gumulinski1.4521191172W. Urban2.50112114113LOct 5 · 02:45P. Kurek1.701111113P. Gumulinski2.046440WOct 5 · 01:30K. Kowalski6.008990P. Gumulinski1.111111113LOct 4 · 23:55J. Nowak2.801217113P. Gumulinski1.37101590WOct 4 · 23:05P. Kurek2.55111191172P. Gumulinski1.46571113113LOct 4 · 21:55P. Gumulinski1.4710711101W. Urban2.5012116123WOct 4 · 20:45D. Dytko2.1591181182P. Gumulinski1.63118117113LOct 4 · 19:30K. Kowalski1.8891712113P. Gumulinski1.8411151071LOct 4 · 17:55J. Nowak3.10111211113P. Gumulinski1.307101391WOct 3 · 16:20P. Gumulinski2.101111113P. Jedrzejak1.607880
Upcoming Matches
D. Dytko
P. Gumulinski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.