TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dawid Dytko vs Kamil Kowalski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:19 and never touched: 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeDawid Dytko to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
117118119––––
H2H Dawid Dytko 1–0 Kamil Kowalski Kamil Kowalski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Dytko beat Kowalski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:1976.6%Our read89.3%to break even at 1.12
short by 12.7pp89.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.12 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.12 (81%)
Dytko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dytko 1344 vs Kowalski 1079
Dytko
Correct
both rated, 265 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dytko 60% vs Kowalski 20%
Dytko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dytko 50% vs Kowalski 20%
Dytko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dytko +1 · Kowalski -4
Kowalski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% · Strong (leans Dytko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dytko form (60%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDytko 1.12 / Kowalski 4.90
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Dytko)-12.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13246357
Dytko1.12
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 24 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Kowalski4.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog17% won 30 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back5% 6 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDytko1wins
AwayKowalski0wins
Dytko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDytkoKowalskiD − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.025.0+16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDytkoKowalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 294 vs 32 / 18755.1%17.1%162 / 294 vs 32 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.11.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.932.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DytkoDytko 1.12/Kowalski 4.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Dytko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dytko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 4 · 18:20D. Dytko4111811113K. Kowalski25511451
D. Dytko10
WOct 5 · 00:45D. Dytko1.551111113J. Nowak2.258570LOct 4 · 23:30D. Dytko1.989160W. Urban1.731111113WOct 4 · 22:20J. Nowak2.258770D. Dytko1.571111113WOct 4 · 21:30P. Kurek1.6711961192D. Dytko2.10711117113LOct 4 · 20:45D. Dytko2.1591181182P. Gumulinski1.63118117113LOct 4 · 19:10D. Dytko2.109920W. Urban1.661111113WOct 4 · 18:20K. Kowalski2.60511451D. Dytko1.4211811113LSep 29 · 04:40D. Dytko1.8399110O. Sokolowski1.871111133WSep 29 · 03:05L. Oracz1.758760D. Dytko1.901111113LSep 29 · 01:50M. Adamus1.9512811113D. Dytko1.771011591
K. Kowalski10
LOct 5 · 01:30K. Kowalski6.008990P. Gumulinski1.111111113LOct 5 · 00:20K. Kowalski4.80711551P. Kurek1.1411711113LOct 4 · 22:40K. Kowalski2.5011631162W. Urban1.45911117113LOct 4 · 21:05J. Nowak1.85711112113K. Kowalski1.8011591192WOct 4 · 20:20P. Kurek1.301110101172K. Kowalski3.10812125113WOct 4 · 19:30K. Kowalski1.8891712113P. Gumulinski1.8411151071LOct 4 · 18:20K. Kowalski2.60511451D. Dytko1.4211811113LOct 3 · 05:05K. Kowalski6.00811961H. Tkaczyk1.1111411113LOct 3 · 03:30K. Kowalski3.258770R. Wiza1.301111113LOct 3 · 02:20K. Kowalski2.158250J. Michalski1.601111113
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