TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Kamil Przeczek vs Vladislav Reska 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118117––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:41 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Przeczek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
119118117––––
H2H Kamil Przeczek 3–4 Vladislav Reska Kamil Przeczek has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:4154.0%Our read40.0%to break even at 2.50
clears by 14.0pp40.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.50 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Reska
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przeczek 1409 vs Reska 1419
Reska
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przeczek 60% vs Reska 40%
Przeczek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przeczek 60% vs Reska 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przeczek -1 · Reska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Przeczek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reska form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzeczek 2.50 / Reska 1.47
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przeczek)+14.0pp
TT Cup · #13250538
Przeczek2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 15 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Reska1.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 70 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 51 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePrzeczek3wins
AwayReska4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderReska leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzeczek75%3 of 4
AwayReska100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przeczek4Reska3n = 7Przeczek took 4 of 7
S2Przeczek2Reska5n = 7Reska took 5 of 7
S3Przeczek3Reska4n = 7Reska took 4 of 7
S4Przeczek4Reska2n = 6Przeczek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricPrzeczekReskaP − RBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match37.638.4−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzeczekReskaBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 179 vs 265 / 53146.4%49.9%83 / 179 vs 265 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrzeczekPrzeczek 2.50/Reska 1.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Przeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Przeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 21 · 20:38K. Przeczek3911611113V. Reska32811671
LAug 21 · 19:45K. Przeczek32961161V. Reska4211119113
LAug 20 · 15:15K. Przeczek4911791392V. Reska506111111113
WAug 18 · 19:40K. Przeczek4211119113V. Reska34891161
LAug 4 · 20:43K. Przeczek27512100V. Reska371114123
WAug 4 · 18:15K. Przeczek4111711123V. Reska336116101
LApr 8 · 13:40K. Przeczek33911671V. Reska4111811113
K. Przeczek10
WOct 5 · 19:45K. Przeczek1.40811118113T. Ogrocki2.7511981152LOct 5 · 17:45K. Przeczek1.911111113102K. Zeman1.80813311123WOct 1 · 21:08T. Ogrocki2.50117881K. Przeczek1.5091111113LOct 1 · 19:40K. Przeczek1.7311991172T. Ogrocki2.00911113113WOct 1 · 18:40K. Przeczek1.5311113123I. Jemelka2.386811101WOct 1 · 17:40K. Przeczek1.611111113J. Vanous2.208990LSep 21 · 17:08K. Przeczek1.73911731F. Theodor2.0011511113WSep 21 · 16:10K. Przeczek1.801111113O. Coufal1.912570WSep 21 · 14:40F. Theodor1.918101113112K. Przeczek1.801112411133LSep 21 · 14:10O. Skvor1.6711414113K. Przeczek2.102111251
V. Reska10
WOct 5 · 18:15T. Ogrocki2.1069120V. Reska1.651111143LOct 5 · 15:45T. Ogrocki2.38111158113V. Reska1.5399111182WOct 5 · 15:15O. Coufal2.251011661V. Reska1.5712811113LOct 5 · 14:15V. Reska1.67111181152M. Janik2.10913115113LSep 30 · 21:20V. Reska2.107680F. Theodor1.671111113WSep 30 · 20:15V. Reska1.80125711113K. Zeman1.91101111682LSep 30 · 18:45F. Theodor1.80111113143V. Reska1.9161311121WSep 30 · 18:15M. Raska1.809660V. Reska1.911111113LSep 29 · 21:15V. Reska1.805760F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 29 · 20:15F. Theodor1.918811111V. Reska1.8011119133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.