TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Stapor vs Dominik Solilo 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611116116116––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:46 and never touched: 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
611116116116––
H2H Rafal Stapor 9–9 Dominik Solilo Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:4660.7%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
short by 1.8pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Solilo
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1436 vs Solilo 1535
Solilo
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 40% vs Solilo 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 40% vs Solilo 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -1 · Solilo -3
Solilo
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Solilo) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 2.20 / Solilo 1.60
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Solilo)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13249599
Stapor2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 113 of 316
Down 0–1, comes back17% 32 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 111
Solilo1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 172 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it92% 87 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it79% 127 of 160
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor6wins
AwaySolilo4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor80%4 of 5
AwaySolilo60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor5Solilo5n = 10split evenly
S2Stapor4Solilo6n = 10Solilo took 6 of 10
S3Stapor5Solilo5n = 10split evenly
S4Stapor3Solilo4n = 7Solilo took 4 of 7
S5Stapor3Solilo0n = 3Stapor took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporSoliloStapor − SoliloBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.037.9+0.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime729 / 1296 vs 287 / 58656.3%49%729 / 1296 vs 287 / 586Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloStapor 2.20/Solilo 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 05:15R. Stapor175750D. Solilo331111113
LSep 9 · 04:25R. Stapor2671090D. Solilo341112113
LAug 21 · 14:40R. Stapor30129541D. Solilo43101111113
WAug 20 · 10:10R. Stapor4513911123D. Solilo4111119101
LAug 13 · 14:40R. Stapor349121031D. Solilo44111012113
WAug 12 · 09:50R. Stapor49881111113D. Solilo4011112882
WAug 12 · 08:30R. Stapor4211911113D. Solilo33911761
WAug 7 · 06:00R. Stapor47511117133D. Solilo45117511112
WAug 6 · 03:20R. Stapor571211128143D. Solilo511041411122
WAug 5 · 07:15R. Stapor331111113D. Solilo156450
R. Stapor10
LOct 6 · 13:05R. Stapor2.2591040B. Sulkowski1.541112113LOct 6 · 10:10R. Stapor2.15111111222A. Sobel1.60613711113WOct 6 · 09:00R. Stapor2.371115113B. Czerwinski1.5291350LOct 5 · 19:40R. Stapor1.67114891M. Trela2.1091111113WOct 5 · 18:30R. Stapor1.8011118113A. Gromek1.91991191LOct 5 · 17:20R. Stapor1.8071191172J. Glanowski1.91115116113LOct 5 · 16:05K. Rudomina1.801051211113R. Stapor1.91121110392LOct 5 · 15:25R. Stapor1.7371060A. Linek2.001112113WOct 5 · 00:10R. Stapor1.83111211113J. Glanowski1.83714841LOct 4 · 23:20R. Stapor2.50119791K. Rudomina1.4571111113
D. Solilo10
LOct 6 · 12:40A. Sobel1.7011116113D. Solilo1.95851141LOct 6 · 11:00D. Solilo2.2081290M. Kolek1.571114113LOct 6 · 09:50D. Solilo1.9011611392B. Sulkowski1.76911511113LOct 5 · 14:20M. Kolek1.9014119113D. Solilo1.751251121WOct 5 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.6012871192D. Solilo2.201011119113WOct 5 · 11:25M. Zwolinski4.25119111182D. Solilo1.19131137113LOct 5 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.73111110113D. Solilo2.00891291LOct 5 · 09:00A. Sobel1.85171111113D. Solilo1.85194761LOct 2 · 00:10D. Solilo1.73117119112J. Glanowski2.00811811133LOct 1 · 23:20D. Solilo2.50106100K. Staszczyk1.501211123
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
D. Solilo
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.