TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Zeniuk vs Bohdan Kohut 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210611118112––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:48 and never touched: 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeBohdan Kohut to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Bohdan Kohut @ 1.61 · Lost
How it is goingDmytro Zeniuk above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 71 set 4, 11-2 · our read held Bohdan Kohut at 55.3%
71 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Zeniuk 23–37 Bohdan Kohut Dmytro Zeniuk has won 23 of their 60 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:4855.3%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 6.6pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kohut
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
23-37 in 60
Kohut
Wrong
gap of 14 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 2004 vs Kohut 1949
Zeniuk
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 80% vs Kohut 40%
Zeniuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 50% vs Kohut 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk +2 · Kohut +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Kohut) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 2.20 / Kohut 1.615
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kohut)-6.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245466
Zeniuk2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog53% won 58 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back22% 11 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Kohut1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 36 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeniuk4wins
AwayKohut6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKohut leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk66.7%4 of 6
AwayKohut100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk6Kohut4n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S2Zeniuk5Kohut5n = 10split evenly
S3Zeniuk4Kohut6n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S4Zeniuk4Kohut3n = 7Zeniuk took 4 of 7
S5Zeniuk1Kohut3n = 4Kohut took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeniukKohutZ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.2−1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 704 vs 306 / 69449.3%44.1%347 / 704 vs 306 / 694Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KohutZeniuk 2.20/Kohut 1.61
Miss
What we said
55.3%
Kohut · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Bohdan Kohut @ 1.61 · Lost
What happened
3–1
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 4 · 22:30D. Zeniuk236890B. Kohut331111113
WSep 29 · 07:55D. Zeniuk50119811113B. Kohut4451111892
LSep 28 · 11:55D. Zeniuk32117861B. Kohut4071111113
LSep 27 · 20:15D. Zeniuk511210111262B. Kohut5610121310113
LSep 23 · 06:35D. Zeniuk22131171B. Kohut3911116113
WSep 22 · 16:05D. Zeniuk4011117113B. Kohut30881131
LSep 22 · 00:00D. Zeniuk4791412572B. Kohut5511121011113
LSep 15 · 09:23D. Zeniuk4681181182B. Kohut47116118113
WSep 15 · 06:25D. Zeniuk331111113B. Kohut237970
WSep 14 · 17:34D. Zeniuk361411113B. Kohut2512850
D. Zeniuk10
WOct 5 · 16:35D. Zeniuk1.831111113A. Molochko1.833850WOct 5 · 15:05D. Zeniuk1.4011711113A. Zeniuk2.75811661LOct 5 · 13:35D. Zeniuk2.204980N. Danyliuk1.611111113WOct 5 · 12:05D. Zeniuk2.00111112113V. Verbyany1.738131051WOct 4 · 23:30N. Danyliuk1.2811761472D. Zeniuk3.507111112113LOct 4 · 22:30D. Zeniuk2.006890B. Kohut1.731111113WOct 4 · 21:30V. Verbyany1.67311941D. Zeniuk2.1011511113LOct 4 · 20:30D. Zeniuk1.448770A. Zeniuk2.631111113LOct 2 · 18:35S. Rak2.75111115113D. Zeniuk1.409131391LOct 2 · 17:35D. Shcherbak2.75111111113D. Zeniuk1.40713991
B. Kohut10
WOct 5 · 17:05B. Kohut1.2511911113A. Zeniuk3.75611621LOct 5 · 16:05B. Kohut2.00531161V. Verbyany1.7311118113WOct 5 · 14:35B. Kohut2.631111113A. Molochko1.443750LOct 5 · 12:35B. Kohut3.2511971172N. Danyliuk1.33611119113LOct 5 · 01:38B. Kohut3.257790N. Danyliuk1.331111113WOct 5 · 00:00A. Zeniuk3.75611691B. Kohut1.2511711113WOct 4 · 22:30D. Zeniuk2.006890B. Kohut1.731111113LOct 4 · 21:00N. Danyliuk1.33114116113B. Kohut3.2571161182WOct 4 · 20:00V. Verbyany1.806811121B. Kohut1.9111118143LSep 29 · 08:55B. Kohut3.25911561A. Molochko1.3311811113
Upcoming Matches
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B. Kohut
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