TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Nazar Danyliuk vs Dmytro Zeniuk 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1177116111412711
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:29 and never touched: 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 77.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 77–25 Dmytro Zeniuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 25 of their 102 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:2977.5%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285
short by 0.3pp77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Danyliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
77-25 in 102
Danyliuk
Wrong
gap of 52 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danyliuk 2157 vs Zeniuk 1966
Danyliuk
Wrong
both rated, 191 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danyliuk 80% vs Zeniuk 20%
Danyliuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danyliuk 80% vs Zeniuk 60%
Danyliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danyliuk +2 · Zeniuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% · Strong (leans Danyliuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 1.285 / Zeniuk 3.50
Signal prob.78% / 23%
Edge (Danyliuk)-0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13239674
Danyliuk1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite64% won 181 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it95% 91 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it82% 134 of 164
Zeniuk3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 56 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back21% 10 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk6wins
AwayZeniuk4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk80%4 of 5
AwayZeniuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Danyliuk8Zeniuk2n = 10Danyliuk took 8 of 10
S3Danyliuk5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Danyliuk2Zeniuk6n = 8Zeniuk took 6 of 8
S5Danyliuk3Zeniuk1n = 4Danyliuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukZeniukD − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.738.8+0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime577 / 946 vs 343 / 69961%49.1%577 / 946 vs 343 / 699Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukDanyliuk 1.28/Zeniuk 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.5%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 09:23N. Danyliuk4491111852D. Zeniuk42114511113
WSep 29 · 06:55N. Danyliuk3711114113D. Zeniuk35891171
WSep 28 · 14:25N. Danyliuk331111113D. Zeniuk236980
WSep 28 · 01:18N. Danyliuk496111110113D. Zeniuk4911981292
WSep 27 · 22:45N. Danyliuk341211113D. Zeniuk2310670
LSep 23 · 08:35N. Danyliuk31811841D. Zeniuk4211911113
LSep 22 · 12:05N. Danyliuk32117951D. Zeniuk4291111113
LSep 21 · 20:00N. Danyliuk31711761D. Zeniuk3711411113
WSep 15 · 07:25N. Danyliuk521011119113D. Zeniuk4312741192
WSep 14 · 12:25N. Danyliuk54169612113D. Zeniuk521411111062
N. Danyliuk10
WOct 5 · 01:38B. Kohut3.257790N. Danyliuk1.331111113WOct 5 · 00:30N. Danyliuk1.53111110113V. Verbyany2.38301281WOct 4 · 22:00N. Danyliuk1.081114113A. Zeniuk7.0081280WOct 4 · 21:00N. Danyliuk1.33114116113B. Kohut3.2571161182LSep 29 · 09:23N. Danyliuk1.2891111852D. Zeniuk3.50114511113WSep 29 · 08:25V. Verbyany2.638111111N. Danyliuk1.4411711133WSep 29 · 06:55D. Zeniuk3.40891171N. Danyliuk1.3011114113WSep 29 · 05:25B. Kohut3.5061380N. Danyliuk1.281115113WSep 29 · 04:25A. Molochko1.917670N. Danyliuk1.801111113LSep 28 · 17:23N. Danyliuk1.3312141041B. Kohut3.25101612113
D. Zeniuk10
LOct 4 · 22:30D. Zeniuk2.006890B. Kohut1.731111113WOct 4 · 21:30V. Verbyany1.67311941D. Zeniuk2.1011511113LOct 4 · 20:30D. Zeniuk1.448770A. Zeniuk2.631111113LOct 2 · 18:35S. Rak2.75111115113D. Zeniuk1.409131391LOct 2 · 17:35D. Shcherbak2.75111111113D. Zeniuk1.40713991WOct 2 · 16:05I. Kozachuk3.00114681D. Zeniuk1.3691111113WOct 2 · 14:05Y. Kravets3.2594110D. Zeniuk1.331111133WOct 2 · 12:05D. Pesternikov2.505830D. Zeniuk1.501111113WSep 29 · 09:23N. Danyliuk1.2891111852D. Zeniuk3.50114511113LSep 29 · 06:55D. Zeniuk3.40891171N. Danyliuk1.3011114113
Upcoming Matches
N. Danyliuk
D. Zeniuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.