TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ales Cizek vs Radovan Solle 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9118111210119811
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:09 and never touched: 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeAles Cizek to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAles Cizek above · Radovan Solle below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 100 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Ales Cizek at 56.5%
100 points played in total.
H2H Ales Cizek 2–0 Radovan Solle Radovan Solle has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:0956.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 1.4pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Cizek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1544 vs Solle 1478
Cizek
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 60% vs Solle 40%
Cizek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 50% vs Solle 20%
Cizek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek -2 · Solle -3
Solle
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Cizek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 1.727 / Solle 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Cizek)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13242693
Cizek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 03)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Solle2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 13 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCizek2wins
AwaySolle0wins
Cizek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricCizekSolleC − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.531.5+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekSolleBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 509 vs 28 / 7047.7%40%243 / 509 vs 28 / 70Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CizekCizek 1.73/Solle 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 22 · 18:45A. Cizek331111113R. Solle228680
WAug 22 · 14:45A. Cizek4814911143R. Solle4112116121
A. Cizek10
LOct 4 · 19:10D. Branny1.571113113A. Cizek2.2571170LOct 3 · 16:50A. Cizek2.603111061R. Sedlacek1.4411912113LOct 3 · 16:10M. Raska2.101111810113A. Cizek1.6756111282WOct 3 · 15:10A. Cizek2.101111113R. Sedlacek1.676430WOct 3 · 13:40M. Moravec1.5791111582A. Cizek2.25117411113WSep 29 · 13:18A. Cizek1.831111113D. Pawlik1.837560WSep 29 · 12:10D. Pawlik2.003116111A. Cizek1.7311611133WSep 29 · 11:10A. Cizek2.5015118113M. Moravec1.501341191LSep 29 · 09:40E. Precek1.8011314113A. Cizek1.918111261LSep 27 · 16:39A. Cizek2.1067111122T. Molin1.67111169113
R. Solle10
LOct 4 · 18:40I. Heuman1.5711117113R. Solle2.25691151LOct 4 · 16:46R. Solle1.9159100L. Dzida1.801111123LOct 4 · 16:10D. Velky Jr1.73211511113R. Solle2.0011711982LOct 4 · 15:10R. Solle2.385136121R. Benes1.53111111143WOct 4 · 13:40L. Dzida1.73911661R. Solle2.0011511113WSep 26 · 20:45I. Heuman1.4415761192R. Solle2.631311119113LSep 26 · 20:10R. Solle2.1011981172K. Kleprlik1.67811115113LSep 26 · 18:40I. Heuman1.5011119113R. Solle2.50881181LSep 26 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.90116118113R. Solle1.8091191152LSep 26 · 16:46R. Solle2.389712121T. Fojtik1.53111110143
Upcoming Matches
A. Cizek
Nothing scheduled
R. Solle
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