TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Slozka vs Oleksii Rodin 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111715119119––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Rodin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Slozka above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 91 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Oleksii Rodin at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Slozka 6–5 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:5254.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 6.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rodin
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1714 vs Rodin 1708
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 40% vs Rodin 60%
Rodin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 40% vs Rodin 60%
Rodin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka -1 · Rodin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Rodin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 2.10 / Rodin 1.666
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rodin)-6.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13239940
Slozka2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 121 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back26% 32 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 73
Rodin1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 150 of 247
Up 2–0, closes it95% 72 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it78% 101 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka5wins
AwayRodin5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka50%2 of 4
AwayRodin50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka4Rodin6n = 10Rodin took 6 of 10
S2Slozka5Rodin5n = 10split evenly
S3Slozka4Rodin6n = 10Rodin took 6 of 10
S4Slozka6Rodin2n = 8Slozka took 6 of 8
S5Slozka1Rodin2n = 3Rodin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaRodinS − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.937.8+0.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 853 vs 210 / 36146%58.2%392 / 853 vs 210 / 361Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RodinSlozka 2.10/Rodin 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rodin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 07:05V. Slozka284113101O. Rodin4311911123
WSep 29 · 03:15V. Slozka4051113113O. Rodin371171181
LSep 25 · 11:35V. Slozka48111251192O. Rodin50714117113
WSep 24 · 17:35V. Slozka47119115113O. Rodin4491161172
LSep 21 · 23:45V. Slozka4911991192O. Rodin45811114113
WSep 21 · 03:00V. Slozka4291111113O. Rodin31118661
LSep 17 · 14:05V. Slozka2595110O. Rodin351111133
LSep 16 · 21:30V. Slozka237790O. Rodin331111113
WAug 28 · 11:05V. Slozka4181111113O. Rodin31118841
WAug 27 · 14:05V. Slozka3611113113O. Rodin29371181
V. Slozka10
LOct 4 · 21:15V. Kaidakov1.8311115113V. Slozka1.83651191WOct 2 · 11:05A. Nazrin1.619990V. Slozka2.201111113LOct 2 · 10:05V. Kaidakov1.83911118133V. Slozka1.83114911112LOct 2 · 08:35M. Loboda1.7311119113V. Slozka2.00691161WOct 2 · 06:35V. Krokhmal1.91871171V. Slozka1.8011117113WOct 2 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.61118111052V. Slozka2.20711412113LOct 1 · 10:35I. Hrekh1.731111113V. Slozka2.005260WOct 1 · 09:35V. Slozka2.0081111113O. Pohonov1.73119931LOct 1 · 08:35V. Slozka2.25911118122A. Romanenko1.57119911143LOct 1 · 07:05V. Slozka1.834113101O. Rodin1.8311911123
O. Rodin10
LOct 4 · 20:15M. Loboda1.831111113O. Rodin1.834720WOct 4 · 03:15I. Sukovatyi1.40119791O. Rodin2.7581111113WOct 4 · 01:45O. Rodin1.80911111123B. Chaikovskyi1.91119511102LOct 3 · 23:45O. Pohonov1.8311124113O. Rodin1.832101181WOct 3 · 21:45I. Hrekh1.6765110O. Rodin2.101111133LOct 3 · 20:45A. Romanenko1.7311118143O. Rodin2.003811121WOct 1 · 11:05O. Rodin2.3811811113A. Romanenko1.53811961WOct 1 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.5710880O. Rodin2.251211113LOct 1 · 08:05O. Rodin2.75111050I. Sukovatyi1.401312113WOct 1 · 07:05V. Slozka1.834113101O. Rodin1.8311911123
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