Jakub Nadolny vs Szymon Brud 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 4Finished

Jakub Nadolny

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

811611911––––

Szymon Brud

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:00 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jakub Nadolny to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJakub Nadolny above · Szymon Brud below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 56 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Jakub Nadolny at 54.0%

56 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 18:00

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Brud

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Nadolny 1567 vs Brud 1507

Nadolny

Wrong

both rated, 60 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Nadolny 40% vs Brud 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Nadolny 50% vs Brud 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Nadolny -2 · Brud +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Nadolny) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Brud form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNadolny 1.833 / Brud 1.833

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Nadolny)-0.6pp

TT Elite Series · #13239376

Nadolny1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Brud1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricNadolnyBrudBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 20 vs 586 / 111155%52.8%11 / 20 vs 586 / 1111Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match42.538.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Nadolny

Nadolny 1.83/Brud 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Nadolny · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Brud won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Nadolny10