TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ales Brandtl Jr vs Vojtech Koutnik 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10126111191141113
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAles Brandtl Jr above · Vojtech Koutnik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 7-5
Point 86 set 5, 7-5
86 points drawn · the score is 12 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Ales Brandtl Jr 11–13 Vojtech Koutnik Ales Brandtl Jr has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Brandtl Jr beat Koutnik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrandtl Jr 2.25 / Koutnik 1.571
TT Cup · #13238865
Brandtl Jr2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 74 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back28% 31 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back12% 8 of 65
Koutnik1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 50 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it76% 38 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrandtl Jr4wins
AwayKoutnik6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKoutnik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrandtl Jr25%1 of 4
AwayKoutnik50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brandtl Jr4Koutnik6n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S2Brandtl Jr4Koutnik6n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S3Brandtl Jr4Koutnik6n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S4Brandtl Jr5Koutnik4n = 9Brandtl Jr took 5 of 9
S5Brandtl Jr2Koutnik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrandtl JrKoutnikB − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.042.6−3.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrandtl JrKoutnikBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 540 vs 178 / 36347.8%49%258 / 540 vs 178 / 363Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KoutnikBrandtl Jr 2.25/Koutnik 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Koutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 3 · 12:25A. Brandtl Jr501011135113V. Koutnik48125111192
LSep 19 · 18:30A. Brandtl Jr365111191V. Koutnik4311138113
WSep 19 · 17:25A. Brandtl Jr3911116113V. Koutnik27741151
LSep 8 · 18:25A. Brandtl Jr355101281V. Koutnik44111210113
WSep 8 · 16:25A. Brandtl Jr4471114123V. Koutnik4011712101
LAug 26 · 13:25A. Brandtl Jr32119661V. Koutnik4291111113
LAug 20 · 11:25A. Brandtl Jr246990V. Koutnik331111113
LAug 10 · 18:00A. Brandtl Jr4811891192V. Koutnik50911118113
LAug 10 · 16:50A. Brandtl Jr3411711142V. Koutnik49911117113
WJul 17 · 18:29A. Brandtl Jr48713611113V. Koutnik50111111892
A. Brandtl Jr10
LOct 3 · 12:55J. Sebl1.331111113A. Brandtl Jr3.255580WOct 3 · 12:25V. Koutnik1.53125111192A. Brandtl Jr2.381011135113LOct 3 · 11:25A. Brandtl Jr3.5011112101D. Zelezny1.2813311123WSep 29 · 17:18A. Krcil1.734580A. Brandtl Jr2.001111113LSep 29 · 16:50D. Zelezny1.361111113A. Brandtl Jr3.008470LSep 29 · 15:50A. Brandtl Jr2.1093100L. Jirka1.671111123LSep 29 · 14:20A. Krcil2.00731111113A. Brandtl Jr1.7311117792LSep 28 · 09:55A. Brandtl Jr1.616121151Z. Muhlhauser2.2011146113WSep 28 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.839450A. Brandtl Jr1.831111113WSep 28 · 08:25A. Brandtl Jr3.00115611113L. Rek1.3661111992
V. Koutnik10
WOct 3 · 13:25D. Zelezny2.00711751V. Koutnik1.7311811113LOct 3 · 12:25V. Koutnik1.53125111192A. Brandtl Jr2.381011135113LOct 3 · 10:55J. Sebl2.20111116113V. Koutnik1.6111591192WOct 1 · 17:50T. Rein2.601191141V. Koutnik1.4513115113WOct 1 · 16:20T. Cerveny Jr2.25871171V. Koutnik1.5711117113WOct 1 · 15:50T. Rein2.50961141V. Koutnik1.5011118113LOct 1 · 14:50V. Koutnik1.7311116662D. Zelezny2.00781111113WSep 22 · 18:00J. Sebl2.00411571V. Koutnik1.7311511113WSep 22 · 16:20V. Koutnik1.8351111123D. Zelezny1.831148101LSep 22 · 15:20V. Koutnik1.61611491J. Sebl2.2011511113
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