Zdenek Kasinski vs David Mutl 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Oct 4Finished

Zdenek Kasinski

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

711115711115116

David Mutl

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 5

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:49 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

David Mutl to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingZdenek Kasinski above · David Mutl below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 11-5

Set 5 · 10-6

Point 84 set 5, 10-6 · our read held David Mutl at 54.0%

84 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:49

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Mutl

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kasinski 1147 vs Mutl 1161

Mutl

Wrong

both rated, 14 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kasinski 40% vs Mutl 100%

Mutl

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kasinski 40% vs Mutl 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Kasinski +2 · Mutl +5

Mutl

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Mutl) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mutl form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKasinski 1.833 / Mutl 1.833

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Mutl)-0.6pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13238559

Kasinski1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Mutl1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 5

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKasinskiMutlBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 135 vs 70 / 14643.7%48%59 / 135 vs 70 / 146Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Mutl

Kasinski 1.83/Mutl 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Mutl · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Kasinski won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

Z. Kasinski10