TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Vizek vs Tomas Janata 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210115211811118
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:50 and never touched: 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vizek above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 89 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Martin Vizek at 58.1%
89 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vizek 19–14 Tomas Janata Tomas Janata has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:5058.1%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 3.8pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vizek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
19-14 in 33
Vizek
Correct
gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vizek 1599 vs Janata 1613
Janata
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vizek 60% vs Janata 40%
Vizek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vizek 50% vs Janata 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vizek +2 · Janata -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Vizek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVizek 1.615 / Janata 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Vizek)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13238083
Vizek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 03)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 47 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Janata2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 29)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 22 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back12% 5 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVizek8wins
AwayJanata2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVizek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVizek100%7 of 7
AwayJanata66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vizek7Janata3n = 10Vizek took 7 of 10
S2Vizek9Janata1n = 10Vizek took 9 of 10
S3Vizek6Janata4n = 10Vizek took 6 of 10
S4Vizek4Janata3n = 7Vizek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVizekJanataV − JBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.932.5+7.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVizekJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 437 vs 451 / 84750.3%53.3%220 / 437 vs 451 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VizekVizek 1.61/Janata 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 19:30M. Vizek29911721T. Janata4211911113
WAug 30 · 19:30M. Vizek4011117113T. Janata29361191
WJul 13 · 19:30M. Vizek4211118123T. Janata314611101
WJun 14 · 03:05M. Vizek4311813113T. Janata325111151
LJun 13 · 22:30M. Vizek4541511962T. Janata531113711113
WJun 1 · 17:30M. Vizek331111113T. Janata228590
WJun 1 · 15:30M. Vizek541211119113T. Janata4014471142
WApr 18 · 02:59M. Vizek4212118113T. Janata301061131
WApr 18 · 01:30M. Vizek381215113T. Janata28101350
WJan 25 · 00:30M. Vizek331111113T. Janata185580
M. Vizek10
WOct 4 · 15:00M. Nohejl2.1036111182M. Vizek1.67111157113WOct 3 · 03:30S. Kadavy1.70511511112M. Vizek2.02118118133WOct 3 · 02:30M. Vizek1.531116113R. Krejci2.3881480LOct 3 · 01:30S. Kadavy1.731110811113M. Vizek2.0071211492WOct 3 · 00:00M. Vizek2.00111195113P. Pycha1.7389111192LOct 2 · 23:00M. Volf1.911311710113M. Vizek1.80112111282WOct 2 · 20:58M. Vizek2.10101116113J. Pozarsky1.671261491LOct 2 · 20:00S. Kadavy1.8041111113M. Vizek1.91118861WOct 2 · 19:00J. Pozarsky1.534790M. Vizek2.381111113LOct 2 · 18:30M. Vizek1.67111011872D. Tuma2.10712411113
T. Janata10
LOct 4 · 15:30T. Janata2.00133931J. Zuzanek1.73111111113LSep 29 · 20:58T. Janata2.3891250J. Pozarsky1.531114113WSep 29 · 20:00J. Pozarsky1.55111181392T. Janata2.30631115113LSep 29 · 19:00R. Krejci1.611111113T. Janata2.209960LSep 29 · 18:30T. Janata2.6311116752K. Brozhik1.44481111113WSep 28 · 21:30T. Janata1.731111113R. Pavelka2.004390WSep 28 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.739970T. Janata2.001111113LSep 28 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.251113113T. Janata1.5781150WSep 28 · 18:30T. Janata1.4011811113J. Trefny2.75211661WSep 28 · 03:30T. Janata1.651112113M. Chlebecek2.1091090
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.