TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radek Rose vs Adam Brazda 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111210112114––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Adam Brazda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4
69 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 13–3 Adam Brazda Adam Brazda has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Rose beat Brazda 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rose form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 1.444 / Brazda 2.625
Czech Liga Pro · #13235160
Rose1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 39 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it70% 26 of 37
Brazda2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 32 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRose9wins
AwayBrazda1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRose leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRose100%6 of 6
AwayBrazda25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rose6Brazda4n = 10Rose took 6 of 10
S2Rose6Brazda4n = 10Rose took 6 of 10
S3Rose9Brazda1n = 10Rose took 9 of 10
S4Rose5Brazda0n = 5Rose took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRoseBrazdaR − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.427.8+8.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseBrazdaBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 346 vs 182 / 39046.2%46.7%160 / 346 vs 182 / 390Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RoseRose 1.44/Brazda 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Rose won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 19:30R. Rose341211113A. Brazda2610790
WSep 14 · 14:30R. Rose43101111113A. Brazda29127551
WAug 18 · 20:30R. Rose43441311113A. Brazda39111111152
WFeb 19 · 22:08R. Rose331111113A. Brazda178540
WFeb 19 · 20:30R. Rose4381111133A. Brazda351176111
WJan 15 · 19:30R. Rose4011711113A. Brazda25211571
WJan 5 · 19:30R. Rose331111113A. Brazda155460
WJan 3 · 15:30R. Rose341211113A. Brazda2110920
WDec 10 · 19:30R. Rose4011414113A. Brazda389111261
LNov 19 · 19:30R. Rose214980A. Brazda331111113
R. Rose10
LOct 2 · 20:00R. Rose2.0031370R. Wagner1.731115113WOct 2 · 19:30A. Brazda2.7510790R. Rose1.401211113LOct 2 · 18:00R. Rose3.004840O. Svacha1.361111113LSep 30 · 21:30M. Skakal2.20711117113R. Rose1.6011681162WSep 30 · 20:00R. Rose1.8311811113M. Skakal1.83511691WSep 30 · 19:30O. Cmerda1.80611681R. Rose1.9111511113LSep 30 · 18:00R. Rose2.75941191O. Svacha1.4011114113WSep 28 · 13:30J. Ruzicka1.45611981R. Rose2.5511911113LSep 28 · 12:30R. Urbaniec2.20831113113R. Rose1.61111181162WSep 28 · 11:30R. Rose1.5711119113F. Pusch2.25691121
A. Brazda10
LOct 2 · 20:30O. Svacha1.441110613113A. Brazda2.63412111152LOct 2 · 19:30A. Brazda2.7510790R. Rose1.401211113LOct 2 · 18:30R. Wagner1.61119411113A. Brazda2.2041111562WSep 30 · 17:00A. Brazda1.101116113S. Kasnik5.3071490WSep 30 · 16:00S. Kasnik2.256870A. Brazda1.571111113LSep 30 · 15:00J. Louda1.501281111113A. Brazda2.5014110462LSep 30 · 14:30A. Brazda2.2510890M. Pikous1.571211113LSep 30 · 13:30A. Brazda2.00411119132M. Sychra1.71118811153WSep 30 · 12:00A. Brazda1.671211113J. Zuzanek2.1010890WSep 30 · 11:30V. Vejvoda1.6791151172A. Brazda2.10115117113
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