TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Kobets vs Oleksandr Gomilko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611911––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:00 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kobets above · Oleksandr Gomilko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 54.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kobets 1–0 Oleksandr Gomilko Oleksandr Gomilko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:0054.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.4pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gomilko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kobets 1507 vs Gomilko 1623
Gomilko
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kobets 40% vs Gomilko 60%
Gomilko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kobets 50% vs Gomilko 70%
Gomilko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kobets -3 · Gomilko +2
Kobets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Gomilko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKobets 2.00 / Gomilko 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Gomilko)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234896
Kobets2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 60 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Gomilko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 109 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it76% 74 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKobets1wins
AwayGomilko0wins
Kobets leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKobetsGomilkoK − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.016.0+17.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKobetsGomilkoBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 831 vs 320 / 56851.6%56.3%429 / 831 vs 320 / 568Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoKobets 2.00/Gomilko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gomilko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 26 · 23:35V. Kobets331111113O. Gomilko167630
V. Kobets10
LOct 3 · 23:35V. Kobets2.10991161O. Melashenko1.6711119113LOct 3 · 21:35V. Kobets4.0091070K. Hrynenko1.221112113LSep 29 · 19:25D. Rehotun3.751191111113V. Kobets1.2513118562WSep 29 · 18:25V. Kobets1.4091111113M. Skliar2.75116381WSep 29 · 17:25V. Kobets1.671112113D. Us2.1081070WSep 29 · 15:55V. Kobets1.8381411113P. Ishchyk1.831112731LSep 29 · 13:55V. Kobets1.5079100A. Peretiatko2.501111123LSep 28 · 19:55V. Kobets4.331061171K. Hrynenko1.2012117113WSep 28 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.006811161V. Kobets1.7311117183WSep 28 · 16:55V. Kobets1.4411911113A. Peretiatko2.63811871
O. Gomilko10
WOct 3 · 23:05Y. Krol2.009950O. Gomilko1.731111113WOct 3 · 21:05V. Lobas1.831551271O. Gomilko1.83131114113LOct 3 · 04:05V. Lobas1.91812711113O. Gomilko1.80111011672WOct 3 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.50101112113D. Derevynskyi2.501231071LOct 3 · 00:35K. Hrynenko2.00511711113O. Gomilko1.7311911472WOct 2 · 22:35Y. Krol2.1077111172O. Gomilko1.67111168113LOct 2 · 21:35M. Marchuk1.91111148113O. Gomilko1.8065111192WSep 27 · 03:05V. Lobas1.838680O. Gomilko1.831111113WSep 27 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.911311117123O. Melashenko1.80151911102WSep 27 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.73911811113M. Marchuk2.0011311652
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