TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Kobets vs Kostiantyn Hrynenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012611117711––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 82.6% is still 82.6%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
82.6%
82.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kobets above · Kostiantyn Hrynenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 82.6%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kobets 2–8 Kostiantyn Hrynenko Vitalii Kobets has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:46What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Hrynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Hrynenko
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kobets 1553 vs Hrynenko 1620
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kobets 100% vs Hrynenko 60%
Kobets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kobets 70% vs Hrynenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kobets +5 · Hrynenko +2
Kobets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% · Strong (leans Hrynenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrynenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKobets 4.33 / Hrynenko 1.20
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Hrynenko)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13207707
Kobets4.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 61 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Hrynenko1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 67 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it88% 53 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKobets2wins
AwayHrynenko8wins
Hrynenko leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKobets50%2 of 4
AwayHrynenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kobets4Hrynenko6n = 10Hrynenko took 6 of 10
S2Kobets2Hrynenko8n = 10Hrynenko took 8 of 10
S3Kobets2Hrynenko8n = 10Hrynenko took 8 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKobetsHrynenkoK − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match25.132.3−7.2per matchSweeps26−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKobetsHrynenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 842 vs 424 / 90551.8%46.9%436 / 842 vs 424 / 905Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoKobets 4.33/Hrynenko 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.6%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 00:05V. Kobets229850K. Hrynenko331111113
WSep 9 · 20:25V. Kobets331111113K. Hrynenko219750
LAug 31 · 19:55V. Kobets152490K. Hrynenko331111113
LAug 27 · 00:55V. Kobets147430K. Hrynenko331111113
LAug 24 · 16:55V. Kobets176470K. Hrynenko331111113
LAug 20 · 00:05V. Kobets37119891K. Hrynenko3521111113
LAug 11 · 21:35V. Kobets239860K. Hrynenko331111113
LAug 4 · 14:25V. Kobets27101070K. Hrynenko351212113
LAug 3 · 17:25V. Kobets30123961K. Hrynenko43101111113
WJul 23 · 02:05V. Kobets331111113K. Hrynenko249690
V. Kobets10
WSep 28 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.006811161V. Kobets1.7311117183WSep 28 · 16:55V. Kobets1.4411911113A. Peretiatko2.63811871WSep 28 · 15:55D. Rehotun3.255930V. Kobets1.331111113WSep 28 · 14:25V. Kobets1.83137138113S. Khandetskyi1.831111111182WSep 27 · 03:35V. Kobets2.20111265113M. Marchuk1.61810111182LSep 27 · 01:35V. Lobas1.44813511113V. Kobets2.63111111942LSep 27 · 00:35V. Kobets2.639711101Y. Krol1.4411111113WSep 26 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.507630V. Kobets2.501111113LSep 26 · 22:05V. Kobets2.20111183102O. Melashenko1.61981111123WSep 24 · 19:55V. Kobets2.50911811123H. Kulishov1.50117118102
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 28 · 18:55A. Peretiatko2.508890K. Hrynenko1.501111113WSep 28 · 17:25D. Rehotun2.20511781K. Hrynenko1.6111511113LSep 28 · 15:25S. Khandetskyi2.501311113K. Hrynenko1.5011490WSep 28 · 13:25Y. Sokoltsov3.50412111172K. Hrynenko1.281110133113LSep 26 · 03:05Y. Krol1.7381111113K. Hrynenko2.00114481WSep 26 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.501111113V. Lobas1.505510WSep 26 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.10711119113D. Derevynskyi1.6711881182LSep 25 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.7311711141O. Melashenko2.0013117163LSep 25 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.101181110102O. Gomilko1.67611712123WSep 24 · 03:55S. Pitsyk3.009512101K. Hrynenko1.36111110123
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