TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Kostiantyn Hrynenko vs Valentyn Lobas 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115111––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeValentyn Lobas to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Valentyn Lobas below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-1
Point 44 set 3, 11-1 — our read held Valentyn Lobas at 64.1%
44 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 11–21 Valentyn Lobas Kostiantyn Hrynenko has won 11 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:54What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lobas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-21 in 32
Lobas
Wrong
gap of 10 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1618 vs Lobas 1647
Lobas
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 60% vs Lobas 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 60% vs Lobas 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko +1 · Lobas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Lobas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrynenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 2.50 / Lobas 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Lobas)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13191318
Hrynenko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 146 of 333
Down 0–1, comes back26% 46 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 89
Lobas1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 110 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it92% 61 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it79% 91 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrynenko3wins
AwayLobas7wins
Lobas leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayLobas85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko3Lobas7n = 10Lobas took 7 of 10
S2Hrynenko5Lobas5n = 10split evenly
S3Hrynenko2Lobas8n = 10Lobas took 8 of 10
S4Hrynenko3Lobas4n = 7Lobas took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrynenkoLobasH − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.835.7−4.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoLobasBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 909 vs 241 / 42046.6%57.4%424 / 909 vs 241 / 420Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobasHrynenko 2.50/Lobas 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Lobas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 01:35K. Hrynenko2991280V. Lobas361114113
WSep 19 · 02:05K. Hrynenko4211119113V. Lobas31381191
LSep 13 · 01:35K. Hrynenko129210V. Lobas331111113
LSep 12 · 02:05K. Hrynenko36711991V. Lobas4211911113
LSep 6 · 01:35K. Hrynenko354811121V. Lobas3911113143
LSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko218850V. Lobas331111113
WAug 30 · 00:05K. Hrynenko4011115133V. Lobas334711111
LAug 29 · 02:05K. Hrynenko28511841V. Lobas3611311113
LAug 22 · 21:05K. Hrynenko26112851V. Lobas3961111113
WAug 21 · 22:05K. Hrynenko3941311113V. Lobas351111941
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 26 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.10711119113D. Derevynskyi1.6711881182LSep 25 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.7311711141O. Melashenko2.0013117163LSep 25 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.101181110102O. Gomilko1.67611712123WSep 24 · 03:55S. Pitsyk3.009512101K. Hrynenko1.36111110123WSep 24 · 02:55H. Kulishov2.1051211452K. Hrynenko1.671110411113WSep 24 · 01:25Y. Stepanchuk6.50116581K. Hrynenko1.1081111113LSep 23 · 23:25D. Derevynskyi1.571111113K. Hrynenko2.256790LSep 23 · 21:25S. Khandetskyi2.631191110113K. Hrynenko1.4451161292WSep 22 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.101211113Y. Stepanchuk6.5010980WSep 22 · 01:35H. Kulishov2.107990K. Hrynenko1.671111113
V. Lobas10
LSep 26 · 00:05Y. Krol2.1071111113V. Lobas1.67118961WSep 25 · 23:05V. Lobas1.4011123113D. Derevynskyi2.756101161WSep 25 · 22:05O. Melashenko2.636960V. Lobas1.441111113LSep 20 · 03:05V. Lobas1.7371050O. Gomilko2.001112113WSep 20 · 01:35V. Lobas1.441114113K. Hrynenko2.6391280WSep 20 · 00:05V. Lobas1.7311511113Y. Krol2.00811951LSep 19 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3311470O. Melashenko3.251311113WSep 19 · 21:05V. Lobas1.361311113M. Marchuk3.0011190LSep 19 · 04:05V. Lobas1.339430M. Marchuk3.251111113LSep 19 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.5011119113V. Lobas1.50381191
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