TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Martyniuk vs Serhii Solomko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114111––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:46 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-1
Point 47 set 3, 11-1 · our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 9–9 Serhii Solomko Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:4654.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Solomko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1565 vs Solomko 1559
Martyniuk
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 100% vs Solomko 80%
Martyniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 70% vs Solomko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk +5 · Solomko -1
Martyniuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Solomko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 2.00 / Solomko 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Solomko)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234697
Martyniuk2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog32% won 25 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Solomko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 120 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it89% 59 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it80% 85 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartyniuk4wins
AwaySolomko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartyniuk60%3 of 5
AwaySolomko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martyniuk5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S2Martyniuk6Solomko4n = 10Martyniuk took 6 of 10
S3Martyniuk4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S4Martyniuk2Solomko5n = 7Solomko took 5 of 7
S5Martyniuk1Solomko2n = 3Solomko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartyniukSolomkoM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.038.6−0.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 360 vs 540 / 104152.5%51.9%189 / 360 vs 540 / 1041Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoMartyniuk 2.00/Solomko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Martyniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 1 · 06:35A. Martyniuk39411113102S. Solomko44114611123
LSep 24 · 12:05A. Martyniuk197660S. Solomko331111113
WSep 13 · 09:50A. Martyniuk50911117123S. Solomko46119511102
LAug 31 · 12:05A. Martyniuk54913912112S. Solomko5611111110133
LAug 29 · 16:30A. Martyniuk4411149101S. Solomko4781611123
LAug 22 · 12:00A. Martyniuk33114991S. Solomko3961111113
LAug 5 · 09:35A. Martyniuk365111281S. Solomko4011414113
WAug 4 · 14:10A. Martyniuk341211113S. Solomko2410680
WJul 26 · 11:20A. Martyniuk331111113S. Solomko189720
A. Martyniuk10
WOct 3 · 14:30A. Martyniuk1.5711511123O. Leonenko2.258119101WOct 3 · 12:30A. Martyniuk1.441111113E. Populovskyi2.636990WOct 1 · 10:03A. Martyniuk1.6713712113O. Leonenko2.1011111081WOct 1 · 08:35O. Leonenko1.83471171A. Martyniuk1.8311116113WOct 1 · 07:35A. Martyniuk1.2511911113O. Osadchyi3.75611421LOct 1 · 06:35S. Solomko1.80114611123A. Martyniuk1.91411113102LOct 1 · 05:35A. Martyniuk1.4011551172E. Populovskyi2.75911117113WSep 28 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.2210960A. Martyniuk4.001211113LSep 28 · 10:00A. Martyniuk2.256850A. Troyan1.571111113WSep 28 · 08:00Y. Volkov1.4091191142A. Martyniuk2.75118114113
S. Solomko10
LOct 3 · 14:00A. Kovalenko2.38512114113S. Solomko1.53111091172WOct 3 · 12:00O. Osadchyi2.5081010S. Solomko1.501112113WOct 1 · 10:33E. Populovskyi3.7533100S. Solomko1.251111123WOct 1 · 09:35O. Leonenko2.10721211S. Solomko1.67111110113WOct 1 · 08:05S. Solomko1.2891111113E. Populovskyi3.50115771WOct 1 · 06:35S. Solomko1.80114611123A. Martyniuk1.91411113102WOct 1 · 05:05S. Solomko1.6191111113O. Osadchyi2.20118411LSep 30 · 11:30A. Kovalenko2.001111113S. Solomko1.735680WSep 30 · 10:00S. Solomko2.201111113O. Volynets1.613960LSep 30 · 08:00O. Shyshman1.281613113S. Solomko3.50141130
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.