TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Patrik Hanel vs Pavel Bajtek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9118111517––––
Pavel Bajtek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:54 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Bajtek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Hanel above · Pavel Bajtek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 15-17
Point 71 set 3, 15-17 · our read held Pavel Bajtek at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5454.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Bajtek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hanel 1494 vs Bajtek 1520
Bajtek
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanel 20% vs Bajtek 40%
Bajtek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanel 40% vs Bajtek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanel -2 · Bajtek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Bajtek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bajtek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanel 1.833 / Bajtek 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bajtek)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13234106
Hanel1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Bajtek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanelBajtekBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 125 vs 22 / 5049.6%44%62 / 125 vs 22 / 50Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BajtekHanel 1.83/Bajtek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bajtek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bajtek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Hanel10
LOct 3 · 10:00P. Osvald1.7371111113P. Hanel2.00116861LSep 29 · 21:00P. Hanel2.0066111192I. Taichman1.73111162113WSep 29 · 20:00P. Hanel1.831111123M. Kowolowski1.8394100LSep 29 · 19:30T. Milota1.919111111113P. Hanel1.8011813422LSep 29 · 18:00P. Hanel1.91961161I. Taichman1.8011115113WSep 20 · 13:02T. Milkov1.91143871P. Hanel1.80121111103LSep 20 · 12:00P. Hanel1.7351191162M. Blejchar2.00119114113WSep 20 · 11:30T. Milkov1.831210128112P. Hanel1.8310121011133LSep 20 · 10:00P. Hanel2.50135981R. Adam1.50111111113WSep 19 · 09:30P. Osvald1.8011511732P. Hanel1.90611611113
P. Bajtek10
LOct 3 · 10:30P. Bajtek1.831011731M. Kowolowski1.8312911113WSep 27 · 13:06P. Bajtek1.40111111143M. Blejchar2.659813121LSep 27 · 12:30P. Bajtek1.73115149112M. Kowolowski2.006111211133WSep 27 · 11:00P. Bajtek1.441111113M. Blejchar2.635870LSep 27 · 10:00P. Osvald1.83111211113P. Bajtek1.83814561LJul 26 · 09:30D. Langer1.5011117113P. Bajtek2.50741171LJul 26 · 08:00D. Langer1.831211113P. Bajtek1.8310990WJul 26 · 07:00M. Blejchar2.50661111P. Bajtek1.5011117113WJul 26 · 06:30P. Bajtek1.611111113I. Taichman2.206890WJul 18 · 13:30P. Bajtek1.8015127113L. Jemelka1.9013101171
Upcoming Matches
P. Hanel
P. Bajtek
Nothing scheduled
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