Milosz Kukawka vs Szymon Brud 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 2Finished

Milosz Kukawka

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

12147111151151311

Szymon Brud

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched: 56.5% is still 56.5%

Graded at full time

Szymon Brud to win

56.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMilosz Kukawka above · Szymon Brud below

Set 1 · 12-14

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 11-5

Set 5 · 13-11

Point 100 set 5, 13-11 · our read held Szymon Brud at 56.5%

100 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:13

56.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 1.4pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Brud

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kukawka 1481 vs Brud 1513

Brud

Wrong

both rated, 32 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kukawka 40% vs Brud 60%

Brud

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kukawka 50% vs Brud 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Kukawka -3 · Brud +1

Kukawka

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Brud) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKukawka 2.00 / Brud 1.727

Signal prob.44% / 57%

Edge (Brud)-1.4pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13232609

Kukawka2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

56%takes the first set · 5 of 9

As underdog53% won 49 of 93

Down 0–1, comes back34% 18 of 53

Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25

Brud1.73

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite63% won 139 of 220

Up 2–0, closes it91% 60 of 66

Up 1–0, closes it77% 91 of 118

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKukawkaBrudBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 812 vs 588 / 111462.7%52.8%509 / 812 vs 588 / 1114Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Brud

Kukawka 2.00/Brud 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56.5%

Brud · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Kukawka won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Kukawka10