TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Minda vs Milosz Kukawka 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91181113111315––
Milosz Kukawka
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:58 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
91181113111315––
H2H Michal Minda 1–3 Milosz Kukawka Michal Minda has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5854.0%Our read52.6%to break even at 1.90
clears by 1.4pp52.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.90 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kukawka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kukawka
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Minda 1510 vs Kukawka 1488
Minda
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Minda 60% vs Kukawka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Minda 80% vs Kukawka 50%
Minda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Minda -1 · Kukawka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Minda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 1.90 / Kukawka 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Minda)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13225744
Minda1.90
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
As underdog39% won 133 of 339
Down 0–1, comes back24% 49 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 102
Kukawka1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As favourite65% won 241 of 369
Up 2–0, closes it98% 123 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it85% 193 of 226
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMinda1wins
AwayKukawka3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKukawka leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMindan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKukawka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda0Kukawka4n = 4Kukawka took 4 of 4
S2Minda1Kukawka3n = 4Kukawka took 3 of 4
S3Minda3Kukawka1n = 4Minda took 3 of 4
S4Minda1Kukawka3n = 4Kukawka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMindaKukawkaM − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match42.242.5−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaKukawkaBasisWin rate · lifetime1018 / 1979 vs 507 / 80751.4%62.8%1018 / 1979 vs 507 / 807Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMinda 1.90/Kukawka 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kukawka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LOct 1 · 06:00M. Minda439813131M. Kukawka48111111153
WSep 29 · 06:30M. Minda501071111113M. Kukawka3612117242
LJun 14 · 15:55M. Minda391111891M. Kukawka4113611113
LFeb 12 · 15:35M. Minda37861491M. Kukawka45111112113
M. Minda10
WOct 1 · 07:00M. Minda1.3711611123M. Lukaszewski2.707119101LOct 1 · 04:10M. Minda1.331B. Warpas2.953WOct 1 · 03:00M. Minda1.6511115113K. Sulkowski2.10991191WSep 30 · 14:20B. Czerwinski1.858660M. Minda1.851111113LSep 30 · 13:30J. Zochniak1.68131199133M. Minda2.051191111112WSep 30 · 11:25M. Zwolinski3.45791171M. Minda1.2511117113WSep 30 · 10:35M. Kolek1.4096111162M. Minda2.70111136113WSep 30 · 09:00R. Stapor2.01711731M. Minda1.6311411113WSep 29 · 14:20J. Krawczyk1.90119156102M. Minda1.813111311123WSep 29 · 13:30F. Krcil1.70791191M. Minda2.0011117113
M. Kukawka10
LOct 1 · 06:40B. Warpas2.601111123M. Kukawka1.4286100LOct 1 · 04:55M. Kukawka1.55129611122R. Stapor2.251011114143WOct 1 · 03:50M. Kukawka1.273M. Lukaszewski3.350WSep 30 · 08:35M. Zwolinski3.3541190M. Kukawka1.231113113WSep 30 · 07:20M. Kukawka1.371111113K. Sulkowski2.808770LSep 30 · 06:05M. Lukaszewski3.601171411113M. Kukawka1.2561116772LSep 30 · 04:55R. Stapor2.351311113M. Kukawka1.5311640WSep 30 · 03:25B. Warpas2.7055100M. Kukawka1.411111123LSep 29 · 07:40M. Kukawka1.59912781F. Krcil2.22111011113LSep 29 · 06:30M. Kukawka1.7012117242M. Minda1.951071111113
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