TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Kocab vs David Vesecky 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111161171012511
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJan Kocab above · David Vesecky below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 88 set 5, 5-11
88 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kocab 15–1 David Vesecky David Vesecky has won 1 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kocab beat Vesecky 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vesecky form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocab 1.40 / Vesecky 2.75
TT Cup · #13228300
Kocab1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 61 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it88% 51 of 58
Vesecky2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 58 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocab9wins
AwayVesecky1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKocab leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocab100%8 of 8
AwayVeseckyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocab8Vesecky2n = 10Kocab took 8 of 10
S2Kocab6Vesecky4n = 10Kocab took 6 of 10
S3Kocab6Vesecky4n = 10Kocab took 6 of 10
S4Kocab5Vesecky1n = 6Kocab took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocabVeseckyK − VBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.831.9+6.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocabVeseckyBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 280 vs 347 / 63847.1%54.4%132 / 280 vs 347 / 638Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KocabKocab 1.40/Vesecky 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Vesecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 10:55J. Kocab44471111113D. Vesecky3811117272
WSep 25 · 09:58J. Kocab471111104113D. Vesecky4998121192
WSep 25 · 07:55J. Kocab4111136113D. Vesecky324111161
WSep 23 · 11:55J. Kocab361114113D. Vesecky2551280
WSep 7 · 11:25J. Kocab351311113D. Vesecky2211740
WSep 1 · 09:25J. Kocab4011711113D. Vesecky26211761
WAug 31 · 11:55J. Kocab45111211113D. Vesecky31714461
WAug 27 · 10:03J. Kocab44111210113D. Vesecky387101291
LAug 27 · 06:55J. Kocab2283110D. Vesecky351111133
WAug 23 · 13:24J. Kocab341211113D. Vesecky2310580
J. Kocab10
LOct 1 · 12:55J. Kocab3.0081030M. Cerny1.361112113LOct 1 · 11:55J. Kocab3.409910D. Bochnak1.301111113WOct 1 · 10:55J. Kocab1.44471111113D. Vesecky2.6311117272WSep 27 · 18:04J. Kocab1.61111111113M. Prochazka2.20851381LSep 27 · 17:25J. Kocab2.20691161P. Dvorak1.6111115113WSep 27 · 15:55M. Prochazka1.80118471J. Kocab1.9161111113LSep 27 · 15:25J. Benak1.8331111113J. Kocab1.83118771WSep 25 · 09:58J. Kocab1.331111104113D. Vesecky3.2598121192LSep 25 · 08:55J. Kocab3.2511109101M. Cerny1.3341211123WSep 25 · 07:55J. Kocab1.3311136113D. Vesecky3.254111161
D. Vesecky10
LOct 1 · 13:25D. Bochnak1.50141110113D. Vesecky2.501281251LOct 1 · 12:25D. Vesecky2.1071111462M. Cerny1.67116811113LOct 1 · 10:55J. Kocab1.44471111113D. Vesecky2.6311117272LOct 1 · 10:38D. Vesecky2.20111112982D. Bochnak1.618131011113WOct 1 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.73118711113V. Nadvornik2.0051111682WOct 1 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.501111113D. Bochnak1.506830LOct 1 · 06:55D. Vesecky2.10713771M. Cerny1.67111111113LSep 25 · 09:58J. Kocab1.331111104113D. Vesecky3.2598121192WSep 25 · 09:25D. Vesecky2.0011911113O. Kadavy1.73811491LSep 25 · 07:55J. Kocab1.3311136113D. Vesecky3.254111161
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