TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Kocab vs Michal Prochazka 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181151113118––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJan Kocab above · Michal Prochazka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8
78 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kocab 4–2 Michal Prochazka Michal Prochazka has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kocab beat Prochazka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kocab)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prochazka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocab 1.61 / Prochazka 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kocab)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13207645
Kocab1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 60 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Prochazka2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 22 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKocab4wins
AwayProchazka2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKocab leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocab75%3 of 4
AwayProchazkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocab4Prochazka2n = 6Kocab took 4 of 6
S2Kocab5Prochazka1n = 6Kocab took 5 of 6
S3Kocab3Prochazka3n = 6split evenly
S4Kocab1Prochazka2n = 3Prochazka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricKocabProchazkaK − PBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match39.833.2+6.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocabProchazkaBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 276 vs 80 / 14247.1%56.3%130 / 276 vs 80 / 142Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocabKocab 1.61/Prochazka 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Kocab · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kocab won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 27 · 15:55J. Kocab3961111113M. Prochazka30118471
LAug 10 · 14:30J. Kocab2110650M. Prochazka341211113
LAug 10 · 10:55J. Kocab49111191082M. Prochazka41341112113
WAug 6 · 12:55J. Kocab351113113M. Prochazka1941140
WJul 16 · 14:40J. Kocab5911111113133M. Prochazka51391315112
WJul 16 · 12:25J. Kocab361114113M. Prochazka2451270
J. Kocab10
LSep 27 · 17:25J. Kocab2.20691161P. Dvorak1.6111115113WSep 27 · 15:55M. Prochazka1.80118471J. Kocab1.9161111113LSep 27 · 15:25J. Benak1.8331111113J. Kocab1.83118771WSep 25 · 09:58J. Kocab1.331111104113D. Vesecky3.2598121192LSep 25 · 08:55J. Kocab3.2511109101M. Cerny1.3341211123WSep 25 · 07:55J. Kocab1.3311136113D. Vesecky3.254111161LSep 25 · 06:55J. Kocab2.638420O. Kadavy1.441111113LSep 23 · 14:24M. Cerny1.3317114113J. Kocab3.251581191LSep 23 · 12:55J. Kocab3.403720M. Cerny1.301111113WSep 23 · 11:55J. Kocab1.441114113D. Vesecky2.6351280
M. Prochazka10
LSep 27 · 16:55M. Prochazka1.67127129112J. Benak2.1010111011133LSep 27 · 15:55M. Prochazka1.80118471J. Kocab1.9161111113WSep 27 · 14:55M. Prochazka1.8311711113P. Dvorak1.83911771WSep 26 · 22:00A. Kosacky1.7387121152M. Prochazka2.001111107113WSep 26 · 21:25M. Prochazka1.6111911113M. Brozek2.20411691LSep 26 · 19:55P. Dvorak1.80118411113M. Prochazka1.9161111792LSep 26 · 19:25A. Kosacky1.911111113M. Prochazka1.807860LAug 29 · 21:55M. Brozek2.381111113M. Prochazka1.539880LAug 29 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7512811113M. Prochazka1.401011441LAug 29 · 20:25M. Prochazka2.0010111051D. Bochnak1.7312712113
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