TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Kocab vs Petr Dvorak 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911115611––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:06 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timePetr Dvorak to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Kocab above · Petr Dvorak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Petr Dvorak at 57.7%
70 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:06What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Dvorak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kocab 1708 vs Dvorak 1607
Kocab
Wrong
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocab 60% vs Dvorak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocab 50% vs Dvorak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocab +1 · Dvorak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocab form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocab 2.20 / Dvorak 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Dvorak)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13205976
Kocab2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 30 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 32
Dvorak1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite77% won 10 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocabDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 275 vs 28 / 6247.3%45.2%130 / 275 vs 28 / 62Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakKocab 2.20/Dvorak 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dvorak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Kocab10
WSep 27 · 18:04J. Kocab1.61111111113M. Prochazka2.20851381WSep 27 · 15:55M. Prochazka1.80118471J. Kocab1.9161111113LSep 27 · 15:25J. Benak1.8331111113J. Kocab1.83118771WSep 25 · 09:58J. Kocab1.331111104113D. Vesecky3.2598121192LSep 25 · 08:55J. Kocab3.2511109101M. Cerny1.3341211123WSep 25 · 07:55J. Kocab1.3311136113D. Vesecky3.254111161LSep 25 · 06:55J. Kocab2.638420O. Kadavy1.441111113LSep 23 · 14:24M. Cerny1.3317114113J. Kocab3.251581191LSep 23 · 12:55J. Kocab3.403720M. Cerny1.301111113WSep 23 · 11:55J. Kocab1.441114113D. Vesecky2.6351280
P. Dvorak10
WSep 27 · 16:25P. Dvorak1.831111113J. Benak1.839780LSep 27 · 14:55M. Prochazka1.8311711113P. Dvorak1.83911771LSep 26 · 22:28M. Brozek1.53111184113P. Dvorak2.3888111132WSep 26 · 20:55P. Dvorak1.6771111113A. Kosacky2.10118671WSep 26 · 19:55P. Dvorak1.80118411113M. Prochazka1.9161111792LSep 26 · 18:55P. Dvorak1.832260M. Brozek1.831111113LAug 26 · 16:55M. Kulisek1.7391111113P. Dvorak2.00119481WAug 26 · 16:25D. Hyza2.2069111182P. Dvorak1.61111145113LAug 26 · 15:25P. Dvorak1.831111111192O. Fiklik1.83613813113WJul 30 · 17:59P. Dvorak1.7311811113M. Prochazka2.00411541
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