TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Vesecky vs David Bochnak 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11811131210911811
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDavid Vesecky above · David Bochnak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 104 set 5, 8-11
104 points played in total.
H2H David Vesecky 28–31 David Bochnak David Vesecky has won 28 of their 59 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Vesecky beat Bochnak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vesecky form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesecky 2.20 / Bochnak 1.615
TT Cup · #13227408
Vesecky2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 58 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Bochnak1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 133 of 217
Up 2–0, closes it93% 66 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it79% 100 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVesecky4wins
AwayBochnak6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBochnak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVeseckyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBochnak75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesecky2Bochnak8n = 10Bochnak took 8 of 10
S2Vesecky5Bochnak5n = 10split evenly
S3Vesecky4Bochnak6n = 10Bochnak took 6 of 10
S4Vesecky3Bochnak3n = 6split evenly
S5Vesecky2Bochnak1n = 3Vesecky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeseckyBochnakV − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.437.1−1.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeseckyBochnakBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 634 vs 363 / 59054.7%61.5%347 / 634 vs 363 / 590Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BochnakVesecky 2.20/Bochnak 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Bochnak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 07:55D. Vesecky331111113D. Bochnak176830
WSep 23 · 16:55D. Vesecky4391211113D. Bochnak331110391
LSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky268990D. Bochnak331111113
LSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky43411112152D. Bochnak49118211173
LAug 28 · 08:25D. Vesecky31811571D. Bochnak4111811113
LAug 27 · 09:25D. Vesecky348111141D. Bochnak4111613113
WAug 26 · 12:50D. Vesecky483101111133D. Bochnak46111266112
LAug 23 · 12:50D. Vesecky246990D. Bochnak331111113
LAug 10 · 16:55D. Vesecky269890D. Bochnak331111113
WAug 7 · 18:25D. Vesecky46119411113D. Bochnak4561111892
D. Vesecky10
LOct 1 · 10:55J. Kocab1.44471111113D. Vesecky2.6311117272WOct 1 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.73118711113V. Nadvornik2.0051111682WOct 1 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.501111113D. Bochnak1.506830LOct 1 · 06:55D. Vesecky2.10713771M. Cerny1.67111111113LSep 25 · 09:58J. Kocab1.331111104113D. Vesecky3.2598121192WSep 25 · 09:25D. Vesecky2.0011911113O. Kadavy1.73811491LSep 25 · 07:55J. Kocab1.3311136113D. Vesecky3.254111161LSep 25 · 07:25M. Cerny1.44511812123D. Vesecky2.631141110102LSep 23 · 18:35D. Vesecky2.1011761172M. Cerny1.65411118113WSep 23 · 16:55D. Vesecky2.3891211113D. Bochnak1.531110391
D. Bochnak10
WOct 1 · 11:55J. Kocab3.409910D. Bochnak1.301111113WOct 1 · 11:25M. Cerny1.83111155102D. Bochnak1.83361111123WOct 1 · 09:25D. Bochnak1.83711119113M. Cerny1.8311691192LOct 1 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.501111113D. Bochnak1.506830WOct 1 · 07:25V. Nadvornik2.388840D. Bochnak1.531111113LSep 28 · 14:25O. Kadavy1.80111135113D. Bochnak1.9176111122WSep 28 · 12:55D. Bochnak1.571111123P. Vanek2.2548100LSep 28 · 11:55D. Bochnak1.8311119792M. Cerny1.83761111113WSep 28 · 10:55D. Bochnak2.10116811113O. Kadavy1.6741111952LSep 23 · 16:55D. Vesecky2.3891211113D. Bochnak1.531110391
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