TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vlastimil Pecka vs Martin Stefek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Vlastimil Pecka
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118119––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:59 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVlastimil Pecka to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVlastimil Pecka above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 63 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Vlastimil Pecka at 57.7%
63 points played in total.
H2H Vlastimil Pecka 1–0 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5957.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 4.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pecka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pecka 1343 vs Stefek 1377
Stefek
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pecka 60% vs Stefek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pecka 30% vs Stefek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pecka -1 · Stefek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Pecka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPecka 1.615 / Stefek 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Pecka)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13228037
Pecka1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 11 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it62% 8 of 13
Stefek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 182 of 423
Down 0–1, comes back22% 50 of 231
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 137
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePecka1wins
AwayStefek0wins
Pecka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPeckaStefekP − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match47.031.0+16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeckaStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 76 vs 613 / 127440.8%48.1%31 / 76 vs 613 / 1274Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PeckaPecka 1.61/Stefek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Pecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 22 · 11:00V. Pecka47111112133M. Stefek311514111
V. Pecka10
WOct 2 · 09:30V. Pecka1.671111123V. Hruska Sr2.1048100LOct 2 · 07:30V. Hruska Sr2.63115311113V. Pecka1.4471111742WOct 2 · 06:00V. Pecka1.36131110133M. Chalupnicek3.0011512111WSep 24 · 12:58V. Pecka1.50111111113J. Strnad2.50481381WSep 24 · 12:00V. Pecka1.7311117113J. Strnad2.00751131LSep 24 · 11:30V. Hruska Sr2.2531111123V. Pecka1.571145101LSep 24 · 10:00V. Pecka1.6111591162R. Hasmanda2.20611117113LSep 14 · 13:00K. Darin1.83111110113V. Pecka1.83441281LSep 14 · 12:30V. Pecka1.837780K. Darin1.831111113LSep 14 · 11:00V. Pecka2.0081060A. Svoboda1.731112113
M. Stefek10
LOct 2 · 09:06M. Chalupnicek2.25111191113M. Stefek1.5717111192WOct 2 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek2.756117111M. Stefek1.4011411133LOct 2 · 06:30M. Stefek1.36111131092V. Hruska Sr3.00691112113WOct 1 · 03:00M. Stefek1.441311113J. Framberk2.6311680WOct 1 · 02:30M. Stefek1.671311113M. Novak2.1011950LOct 1 · 01:30J. Briska1.501111113M. Stefek2.505730WOct 1 · 00:00M. Stefek1.441111113J. Framberk2.636680LSep 30 · 23:00V. Dolezal1.571111113M. Stefek2.257670LSep 28 · 09:00J. Moravek1.50981112113M. Stefek2.50111171092LSep 28 · 08:30M. Stefek2.6311710101A. Svoboda1.4491112123
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