TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oskar Jadach vs Wojciech Urban 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11811971113151311
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:20 and never touched: 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOskar Jadach above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 109 set 5, 13-11 · our read held Oskar Jadach at 58.5%
109 points played in total.
H2H Oskar Jadach 10–10 Wojciech Urban Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:2058.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 3.4pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-10 in 20
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1417 vs Urban 1320
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 40% vs Urban 60%
Urban
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 60% vs Urban 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +1 · Urban -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Jadach) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.615 / Urban 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Jadach)-3.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13227468
Jadach1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 345 of 512
Up 2–0, closes it94% 164 of 174
Up 1–0, closes it85% 241 of 284
Urban2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 214 of 527
Down 0–1, comes back19% 56 of 289
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach4wins
AwayUrban6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderUrban leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach66.7%2 of 3
AwayUrban71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach3Urban7n = 10Urban took 7 of 10
S2Jadach5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S3Jadach7Urban3n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S4Jadach4Urban6n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S5Jadach2Urban3n = 5Urban took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachUrbanJ − UBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match44.146.5−2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime789 / 1314 vs 807 / 171460.1%47.1%789 / 1314 vs 807 / 1714Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.61/Urban 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 09:25O. Jadach551111713133W. Urban54891115112
LOct 2 · 03:25O. Jadach359511101W. Urban4211118123
WSep 24 · 12:15O. Jadach4291111113W. Urban33116791
LSep 24 · 08:35O. Jadach321051161W. Urban4212118113
WSep 22 · 09:25O. Jadach43111011113W. Urban37912971
LSep 22 · 03:25O. Jadach525111213112W. Urban571181411133
WJul 18 · 14:20O. Jadach47311155133W. Urban551191311112
LJul 18 · 08:10O. Jadach4311127582W. Urban529101111113
LMay 1 · 07:35O. Jadach5513101111102W. Urban48151254123
LMar 31 · 22:50O. Jadach376121181W. Urban4511149113
O. Jadach10
LOct 2 · 10:10M. Cesarz4.3311101310113O. Jadach1.20912111292WOct 2 · 07:45O. Jadach1.2281111113M. Cesarz4.00118551LOct 2 · 06:30O. Jadach2.10118861R. Skotniczny1.6771111113LOct 2 · 05:15O. Jadach1.505111191K. Schaniel2.5011139113WOct 2 · 04:10P. Adamus1.83911771O. Jadach1.8311611113LOct 2 · 03:25O. Jadach1.839511101W. Urban1.8311118123WSep 30 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.0061151142O. Jadach1.73113119113WSep 30 · 13:30O. Jadach1.83781111113P. Brozek1.8311116882WSep 30 · 12:15I. Szymanski4.507740O. Jadach1.171111113WSep 30 · 11:00K. Kowalski6.501061181O. Jadach1.1012116113
W. Urban10
LOct 2 · 08:35P. Adamus1.501115912113W. Urban2.50617111082WOct 2 · 07:20W. Urban1.8312119123K. Schaniel1.8310811101WOct 2 · 06:05M. Cesarz3.259118101W. Urban1.3311911123LOct 2 · 04:55R. Skotniczny1.731171012113W. Urban2.00911121092WOct 2 · 03:25O. Jadach1.839511101W. Urban1.8311118123LOct 1 · 14:20P. Gumulinski1.5711811113W. Urban2.25611941LOct 1 · 13:30M. Baron2.2011911113W. Urban1.61911661WOct 1 · 11:25R. Idaczyk1.73511471W. Urban2.0011911113WOct 1 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk3.75159101322W. Urban1.2513111211113LOct 1 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.10159114113W. Urban1.67131151192
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