TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Hendrych vs Jan Hrncir 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411811117119611
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJan Hendrych above · Jan Hrncir below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hendrych 11–13 Jan Hrncir Jan Hendrych has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Hendrych beat Hrncir 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrncir form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 2.20 / Hrncir 1.615
TT Cup · #13224725
Hendrych2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 53 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Hrncir1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 23 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHendrych4wins
AwayHrncir6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHrncir leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrych75%3 of 4
AwayHrncir83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych4Hrncir6n = 10Hrncir took 6 of 10
S2Hendrych4Hrncir6n = 10Hrncir took 6 of 10
S3Hendrych4Hrncir6n = 10Hrncir took 6 of 10
S4Hendrych2Hrncir6n = 8Hrncir took 6 of 8
S5Hendrych3Hrncir1n = 4Hendrych took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHendrychHrncirHendrych − HrncirBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.841.0−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychHrncirBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 515 vs 106 / 19750.7%53.8%261 / 515 vs 106 / 197Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HrncirHendrych 2.20/Hrncir 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Hrncir won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 20:55J. Hendrych48111196113J. Hrncir4379111152
LAug 12 · 22:00J. Hendrych32961161J. Hrncir4211119113
WAug 12 · 19:25J. Hendrych49911116123J. Hrncir45115811102
LJul 30 · 21:58J. Hendrych184680J. Hrncir331111113
LJul 30 · 19:20J. Hendrych3841371132J. Hrncir521111118113
WJul 17 · 19:25J. Hendrych4111811113J. Hrncir29711651
WJul 2 · 18:50J. Hendrych48111169113J. Hrncir4148111172
LJun 19 · 15:55J. Hendrych35118160J. Hrncir421311183
LMay 22 · 16:50J. Hendrych24112921J. Hrncir4181111113
LJan 7 · 20:50J. Hendrych35881181J. Hrncir4211119113
J. Hendrych10
WSep 30 · 20:55J. Hrncir1.5779111152J. Hendrych2.25111196113LSep 30 · 20:25M. Sulc1.401281111113J. Hendrych2.7514119582LSep 30 · 19:25J. Hendrych2.509101171M. Kulisek1.5011124113LSep 25 · 17:59J. Hendrych1.809111081P. Moravec1.9111912113LSep 25 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.53111011113J. Hendrych2.38812721WSep 25 · 15:50D. Sochor1.91112951J. Hendrych1.8081111113WSep 25 · 14:50J. Hendrych1.831311113P. Moravec1.8311780LSep 24 · 17:24J. Hendrych2.208890P. Moravec1.611111113LSep 24 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.67101111113J. Hendrych2.10126661LSep 24 · 15:50M. Dvorak1.911111113J. Hendrych1.802530
J. Hrncir10
LSep 30 · 20:55J. Hrncir1.5779111152J. Hendrych2.25111196113LSep 30 · 19:55J. Hrncir2.00812111052M. Kulisek1.731110912113LSep 30 · 18:55J. Hrncir1.737101121M. Sulc2.0011128113LSep 23 · 22:23O. Fiklik1.671771111113J. Hrncir2.07151161352WSep 23 · 20:55A. Rek1.57611101152J. Hrncir2.25119126113LSep 23 · 20:25O. Fiklik1.671112143J. Hrncir2.10810120WSep 23 · 19:25J. Hrncir1.831211113M. Sulc1.8310770WSep 16 · 18:04M. Sulc2.10511591J. Hrncir1.6711811113WSep 16 · 16:55J. Volek2.00128100J. Hrncir1.731411123LSep 16 · 16:25A. Kosacky1.441112113J. Hrncir2.6361070
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