Jakub Stolfa vs Karel Brozhik 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Oct 1Finished

Jakub Stolfa

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 6

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 6

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

118611117911117

Karel Brozhik

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:44 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%

Graded at full time

Karel Brozhik to win

55.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Karel Brozhik below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 9-11

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 92 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Karel Brozhik at 55.8%

92 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:44

55.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 4.2pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Brozhik

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Stolfa 1659 vs Brozhik 1614

Stolfa

Correct

both rated, 45 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Stolfa 100% vs Brozhik 60%

Stolfa

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Stolfa 70% vs Brozhik 40%

Stolfa

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Stolfa +6 · Brozhik -1

Stolfa

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Brozhik) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Stolfa form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStolfa 2.10 / Brozhik 1.666

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Brozhik)-4.2pp (anti-value)

Czech Liga Pro · #13221075

Stolfa2.10

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 6

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog52% won 69 of 134

Down 0–1, comes back35% 26 of 75

Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34

Brozhik1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 29)

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite55% won 43 of 78

Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20

Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricStolfaBrozhikBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 420 vs 331 / 68052.6%48.7%221 / 420 vs 331 / 680Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Brozhik

Stolfa 2.10/Brozhik 1.67

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.8%

Brozhik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Stolfa won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Stolfa10