TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Stolfa vs Jan Trefny 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117118––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Jan Trefny below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8
54 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 3–5 Jan Trefny Jakub Stolfa has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
They have already met 3 times today · last one 1h before this match
Stolfa beat Trefny 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trefny form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.91 / Trefny 1.80
Czech Liga Pro · #13216686
Stolfa1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 67 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back35% 25 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Trefny1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 33 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeStolfa3wins
AwayTrefny5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderTrefny leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa50%2 of 4
AwayTrefny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa4Trefny4n = 8split evenly
S2Stolfa4Trefny4n = 8split evenly
S3Stolfa3Trefny5n = 8Trefny took 5 of 8
S4Stolfa1Trefny5n = 6Trefny took 5 of 6
S5Stolfa2Trefny1n = 3Stolfa took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricStolfaTrefnyS − TBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match37.437.9−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaTrefnyBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 415 vs 74 / 14552.1%51%216 / 415 vs 74 / 145Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
TrefnyStolfa 1.91/Trefny 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 29 · 12:30J. Stolfa47611811113J. Trefny4011611752
LSep 29 · 09:30J. Stolfa34691181J. Trefny3711114113
LSep 29 · 07:30J. Stolfa341266101J. Trefny44101111123
LSep 28 · 21:00J. Stolfa136610J. Trefny331111113
WSep 28 · 19:30J. Stolfa49111197113J. Trefny4278111152
WSep 28 · 12:00J. Stolfa351112123J. Trefny23310100
LAug 18 · 09:30J. Stolfa399119101J. Trefny3811411123
LAug 18 · 06:00J. Stolfa48117111092J. Trefny46311912113
J. Stolfa10
WSep 29 · 12:30J. Stolfa2.10611811113J. Trefny1.6711611752LSep 29 · 11:00J. Stolfa2.2511115452V. Cermak1.57791111113LSep 29 · 10:00M. Sobisek2.63111195143J. Stolfa1.44671111122LSep 29 · 09:30J. Trefny1.8011114113J. Stolfa1.90691181WSep 29 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.531211113M. Sobisek2.3810770LSep 29 · 07:30J. Trefny2.00101111123J. Stolfa1.731266101LSep 29 · 06:00J. Stolfa2.258115101V. Cermak1.5711711123LSep 28 · 21:00J. Stolfa1.446610J. Trefny2.631111113LSep 28 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.739970T. Janata2.001111113WSep 28 · 19:30J. Trefny2.6378111152J. Stolfa1.44111197113
J. Trefny10
LSep 29 · 12:30J. Stolfa2.10611811113J. Trefny1.6711611752LSep 29 · 11:30J. Trefny2.101011851M. Sobisek1.6712911113LSep 29 · 10:30V. Cermak1.401111113J. Trefny2.758590WSep 29 · 09:30J. Trefny1.8011114113J. Stolfa1.90691181WSep 29 · 08:30V. Cermak1.258119101J. Trefny3.7511811123WSep 29 · 07:30J. Trefny2.00101111123J. Stolfa1.731266101WSep 29 · 06:30M. Sobisek1.6171070J. Trefny2.201112113WSep 28 · 21:00J. Stolfa1.446610J. Trefny2.631111113LSep 28 · 20:30R. Pavelka1.91101111113J. Trefny1.80127981LSep 28 · 19:30J. Trefny2.6378111152J. Stolfa1.44111197113
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